Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Our business involves a high degree of risk. You should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described below, together with all of the other information in this Form 10-K. The occurrence of any of the events described below could harm our business, operating results, financial condition, liquidity, or prospects. In any such event, the market price of our Class A common stock could decline, and you may lose all or part of your investment. This Form 10-K also contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. See “ Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements .” Our actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of certain important factors, including those set forth below.
Risks Related to Our Business and Financial Results
Our management has performed an analysis of our ability to continue as a going concern and has identified substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern.
As of December 31, 2025, we had $25.0 million of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents available to fund future operations, $336.7 million of outstanding indebtedness, of which $45.0 million is classified as current on our balance sheet, and $287.8 million of unpaid claims. We expect to continue to incur operating losses and generate negative cash flows from operations for the foreseeable future. Based on our currently available cash resources, including the aggregate proceeds of $18.0 million we received from a related party financing transaction in January and February 2026, and assuming no other financing transactions, we believe we will require additional funding in 2026. As a result of these factors, management has concluded that there is substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Form 10-K are issued. In evaluating our ability to continue as a going concern and meet our obligations, management considered our current projections of future cash flows, current financial condition, sources of liquidity, and debt obligations for at least one year from the date of issuance of this Form 10-K.
We continue to explore raising additional capital through a combination of debt financing and equity issuances and sales of assets. As substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern exists, our ability to finance our operations through the sale and issuance of debt or equity securities or through bank or other financing could be impaired and there is no assurance that sources of financing will be available on a timely basis, or on satisfactory terms, or at all. If we are unable to raise additional capital or generate cash flows necessary to fund our operations or refinance our indebtedness, we will need to curtail planned activities, discontinue certain operations, or sell certain assets, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
If our affiliated physician groups and Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plans are not able to satisfy California regulations related to financial solvency and operational performance, they could become subject to sanctions, and their ability to do business in California could be limited or terminated.
The California Department of Managed Health Care (“DMHC”) has instituted regulations intended to provide a formal mechanism for monitoring the financial solvency and operational performance of risk-bearing organizations (including capitated physician groups) and Restricted Knox-Keene licensed health plans in California. Under current DMHC regulations, our affiliated physician groups, as applicable, are required to, among other things:
• Maintain, at all times, a minimum “cash-to-claims ratio” (which means the organization’s cash, marketable securities, and certain qualified receivables, divided by the organization’s total unpaid claims liability) of 0.75; and
• Submit periodic reports to the DMHC containing various data and attestations regarding their performance and financial solvency, including incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) calculations, documentation, and attestations as to whether or not the organization (i) was in compliance with the “Knox-Keene Act” requirements related to claims payment timeliness, and (ii) had maintained compliance with minimum “cash-to-claims ratio,” tangible net equity, and positive working capital requirements.
In the event that a physician group is not in compliance with any of the above criteria, it would be required to describe in a report submitted to the DMHC the reasons for non-compliance and actions to be taken to bring it into compliance. Under such regulations, the DMHC can also make some of the information in the reports public, including, but not limited to, whether or not a particular physician organization met each criteria.
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The DMHC determined that, as of December 31 2025 Medcore HP was not in compliance with the DMHC’s positive tangible net equity requirement. As a result, the DMHC required Medcore HP to develop and implement a corrective action plan (“CAP”) for such deficiency. Medcore HP submitted its CAP in March 2026.
Risks Related to Our Operating History
We have a history of net losses. We expect to continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future and we may never achieve or maintain profitability.
We have experienced losses since our inception. For the year ended December 31, 2025, we incurred net losses of $323.1 million. As of December 31, 2025, we had an accumulated deficit of $651.1 million. We expect to continue to incur net losses, comprehensive losses, and negative cash flows from operating activities in accordance with our operating plan. We expect that our operating expenses will continue to increase as we grow our business, build relationships with physician partners and payors, develop new services and comply with the requirements associated with being a public company. Since our inception, we have financed our operations primarily through cash we obtained as a result of the Business Combinations, private placements of equity securities, issuances of promissory notes, payments received from various payors, borrowings under the Term Loan Facility (as defined herein) and the disposition of certain of our Florida assets. We may not succeed in sufficiently increasing our revenue to offset these expenses. Consequently, we may not be able to achieve and maintain for the current or any future fiscal year. We may never be to generate sufficient revenue to or sustain and our recent and historical growth should not be considered indicative of our future performance.
Our business and the markets in which we operate are rapidly evolving, which makes it difficult to evaluate our future prospects and the risks and challenges we may encounter.
Our business and the markets in which we operate are rapidly evolving which make it difficult to evaluate and assess the success of our business to date, our future prospects and the risks and challenges that we may encounter. These risks and challenges include our ability to:
• attract new members and partner physicians to our platform and position our platform as a convenient and accepted way to access and deliver healthcare;
• retain our current members, affiliated professional entities and other physician partners and encourage them to continue to utilize our platform and services;
• gain market acceptance of our services and products with members and physicians and maintain and expand such relationships;
• comply with existing and new laws and regulations applicable to our business and in our industry;
• anticipate and respond to changes in Medicare reimbursement rates and the markets in which we operate, including rule changes that may limit the reimbursement we can obtain from Medicare;
• react to challenges from existing and new competitors;
• maintain and enhance our reputation and brand;
• effectively manage our growth and business operations, including new geographies;
• forecast our revenue, which includes reimbursements, and budget for, and manage, our expenses, including our medical expense amounts, and capital expenditures;
• hire and retain talented individuals at all levels of our organization;
• maintain and improve the infrastructure underlying our platform, including our data protection, implementation of artificial intelligence for appropriate functions to the extent permitted by applicable law, intellectual property and cybersecurity; and
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• successfully update our platform and services, including expanding our services into different healthcare products and services, develop and update our software, offerings and services to benefit our members.
If we fail to understand fully or adequately address the challenges that we are currently encountering or that we may encounter in the future, including those challenges described here and elsewhere in this “ Risk Factors ” section, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. If the risks and uncertainties that we plan for when operating our business are incorrect or change, or if we fail to manage these risks successfully, our results of operations could differ materially from our expectations and our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Our relatively limited operating history makes it difficult to evaluate our future prospects and the risks and challenges we may encounter.
We were established in 2017 and we are continuing to grow our marketing and management capabilities. Consequently, predictions about our future success or viability may not be as accurate as they could be if we had a longer operating history. Our relatively limited operating history, evolving business and rapid growth make it difficult to evaluate our future prospects and the risks and challenges we may encounter, and we may not continue to grow at or near historical rates. If our growth strategy is not successful, we may not be able to continue to grow our revenue or operations.
In addition, as a business with a limited operating history, we may encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications, delays and other known and unknown challenges. We are transitioning to a company capable of supporting commercialization, sales and marketing. We may not be successful in such a transition and, as a result, our business may be adversely affected.
We may not be able to maintain compliance with our debt covenants in the future which could result in an event of default.
Our Term Loan Facility (as defined herein) with CRG Partners (the “Lender”), the VGS Promissory Note, the VGS 2 Promissory Note, the VGS 3 Promissory Note, VGS 4 Promissory Note, and VGS 5 Promissory Note (each as defined herein and collectively, the “Loan Documents”) contain affirmative and negative covenants which, among other things, require us to maintain minimum liquidity and annual minimum revenue levels that increase over time and restrict P3 LLC’s ability and the ability of its subsidiaries from, among other things, incurring certain indebtedness and liens, and making certain restricted payments. If we breach these or other financial covenants and fail to secure a waiver or forbearance from the lenders, such breach or failure could result in an event of default and accelerate the repayment of the outstanding debt or the exercise of other rights or remedies that our lenders may have under applicable law. We were not in compliance with the Loan Documents’ covenants related to issuance of the 2025 financial statements with an audit opinion free of a “going concern” explanatory paragraph. The lenders under the Loan Documents have granted us a waiver of the covenant under the Term Loan Facility related to the existence of a “going ” explanatory paragraph in the audit opinion for our audited financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. We were in material compliance with all other covenants under the Loan Documents as of December 31, 2025; however, there can be no assurance that we will be to maintain compliance with these covenants in the future or that the lenders under the Loan Documents or the lenders of any future indebtedness we may incur will grant any such waiver or forbearance in the future.
We may not recognize the anticipated benefits of recent and future acquisitions or dispositions and any such transactions could disrupt our operations and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The anticipated benefits of any future acquisitions or dispositions may not be realized fully, or at all, and may take longer to realize than expected. Anticipated benefits of any acquisition may be affected by, among other things, competition and our ability to grow and manage growth profitably. Further, we may not be able to continue the operational success or successfully finance or integrate any businesses that we acquire. The integration of any acquisition may divert management’s time and resources from our core business and disrupt our operations or may result in conflicts with our business. Any acquisition may not be successful, may reduce our cash reserves, may negatively affect our earnings and financial performance and, to the extent financed with the proceeds of debt, may increase our indebtedness. We cannot ensure that any acquisition we make will not have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
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A significant portion of our assets consists of other intangible assets, the value of which may be reduced if we determine that those assets are impaired.
As of December 31, 2025, the net carrying value of other intangible assets represented $492.4 million, or 75% of our total assets. Indefinite-lived intangible assets are evaluated for impairment annually, or more frequently if circumstances indicate impairment may have occurred. Definite-lived intangible assets totaling $491.7 million are amortized over 10 years. If our operating performance falls below our then current projections or if there are material changes to management’s assumptions, we have in the past and could in the future be required to recognize additional non-cash charges to operating earnings for other intangible asset impairment, which could be significant. For example, due to the decrease in the share price over the second and fourth quarters of 2022, the Company recorded a significant goodwill impairment charge of $1,315.0 million during the year ended December 31, 2022. Goodwill or intangible asset impairments have had, and any future impairments may have, a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
We may need to raise additional capital to fund our existing operations or develop and commercialize new services or expand our operations.
We may need to spend significant amounts to fund our existing operations, including expansion into new geographies, to improve our platform and to develop new services. Based upon management’s assessment of the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern as described above in the risk factor entitled “ Our management has performed an analysis of our ability to continue as a going concern and has identified substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern ,” absent additional funding, we believe that our existing cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash are not sufficient to fund our operating and capital needs for at least the next 12 months. We maintain the majority of our cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash in accounts with major U.S. financial institutions, and our deposits at these institutions, at times, may exceed insured limits. Market conditions can impact the viability of these institutions. In the event of failure of any of the financial institutions where we maintain our cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, there can be no assurance that we would be able to access uninsured funds in a timely manner or at all. Any to access or in accessing these funds could affect our business and financial position.
Our expectation regarding the sufficiency of funds is based on assumptions that may change as a result of many factors currently unknown to us. Until such time, if ever, as we can generate sufficient revenue, we may finance our cash needs through a combination of equity offerings and debt financings or other sources. In addition, we may seek additional capital due to favorable market conditions or strategic considerations, even if we believe that we have sufficient funds for our current or future operating plans.
Our present and future funding requirements will depend on many factors, including:
• our ability to achieve revenue growth;
• our ability to effectively manage medical expense amounts;
• the cost of expanding our operations, including our geographic scope, and our offerings, including our marketing efforts;
• our rate of progress in launching, commercializing and establishing adoption of our services; and
• the effect of competing technological and market developments.
To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, your ownership interest will be diluted, and the terms of these securities may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect your rights as a securityholder. In addition, debt financing and preferred equity financing, if available, may involve agreements that include covenants limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions, such as incurring additional debt, making capital expenditures or declaring dividends and these forms of financing may have rights, preferences, and privileges senior to those of holders of our common stock and may involve restrictive covenants which could place significant restrictions on our operations. For example, from December 2022 through December 2025, in various private placement transactions and in connection with the issuance of unsecured promissory notes (see Note 11 “Debt” to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Form 10-K), we have issued an aggregate of 14.7 million shares of Class A common stock and warrants and pre-funded warrants to purchase an aggregate of 8.2 million shares of Class A common stock. See Part II, Item 7A. “ Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
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and Results of Operations—Liquidity and Capital Resources .” If we raise additional funds through collaborations, strategic alliances or marketing, distribution or licensing arrangements with third parties, we may be required to relinquish valuable rights to our technologies, intellectual property, or future revenue streams or grant licenses on terms that may not be favorable to us. Furthermore, any capital raising efforts may divert our management from their day-to-day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to advance development activities. If we are unable to raise additional funds when needed to fund our operations, we will need to curtail planned activities, discontinue certain operations, or sell certain assets, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
Risks Related to Our Business and Industry
Pandemics or epidemics have impacted, and may in the future impact, our operations and may materially and adversely affect our business and financial results.
The extent to which any pandemic, epidemic, or outbreak of an infectious disease may directly or indirectly impact our operations and results of operations will depend on multiple factors, including, but not limited to the ultimate geographic spread of the disease, the duration and scope of the outbreak, the emergence of variants, the availability and efficacy of vaccines, and government, social, business and other actions that are taken in response to the pandemic or outbreak, including federal designation as a public health emergency (“PHE”) and the federal regulatory and legislative response to addressing that PHE. We may be unable to properly anticipate or prepare for these events and, as a result, our business may be materially adversely impacted.
We rely on our management team and key employees and our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations could be harmed if we are unable to retain qualified personnel.
Our success depends largely upon the continued services of key members of senior management and other key employees. Most key employees are at-will employees and therefore they may terminate employment with us at any time with no advance notice. We also rely on our leadership team in the areas of managed care, operations and general and administrative functions. From time to time, there may be changes in our management team resulting from the hiring or departure of executives, which could disrupt our business. The replacement of one or more of our executive officers or other key employees would likely involve significant time and costs and may significantly delay or prevent the achievement of our business objectives. Our business would also be adversely affected if we fail to adequately plan for succession of our leadership or if we fail to effectively recruit, integrate, retain and develop key talent and/or align our talent with our business needs, in light of the current rapidly changing environment.
Competition for qualified personnel in our industry is intense due to the limited number of individuals who possess the required skills and experience. In particular, we face substantial competition for physicians and other healthcare providers. As a result, as we continue to grow and enter new geographies, it may be difficult for us to hire additional qualified personnel with the necessary skills. We continued to experience labor shortages in 2025. Additionally, the trend towards eliminating or significantly reducing the enforceability of restrictive covenants and non-compete provisions in states where we operate or may operate in the future, may impair our ability to attract or retain talent, and may have unforeseen consequences on wages and benefits for physicians and other healthcare providers. A number of factors have and may in the future adversely affect the labor force available to us or increase labor costs, including high employment levels, federal unemployment subsidies, increased wages offered by other employers, and other government regulations. In addition, we have experienced high employee turnover and expect to continue to experience high employee turnover in the future. New hires require significant training and, in most cases, take significant time before such personnel full productivity. New employees may not become as productive as we expect, and we may be to hire or retain sufficient numbers of qualified individuals. If our retention efforts are not or our employee turnover rate increases in the future, we may not be to effectively pursue our business plan which could our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
Finally, as job candidates often consider the value of the stock options or other equity instruments they are to receive in connection with their employment, the volatility in the price of our stock may adversely affect our ability to attract or retain highly skilled personnel. Further, the requirement to expense stock options and other equity instruments may discourage us from granting the size or type of stock option or equity awards that job candidates require to join our company. Failure to attract new personnel or failure to retain and motivate our current personnel could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
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Our growth depends in part on our ability to identify and develop successful new geographies, physician partners, payors and patients. If we are not able to successfully execute upon our growth strategies, there may be a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
Our business depends on our ability to identify and develop successful geographies and relationships with physician partners and payors, and to successfully execute upon our growth initiatives to increase the profitability of our physician partners. In order to pursue our strategy successfully, we must effectively implement our platform, partnership and network model, including identifying suitable candidates and successfully building relationships with and managing integration of new physician partners and payors. We contract with a limited number of affiliated professional entities and other physician partners and rely on such physicians within each geography. In addition, certain of our providers are permitted to provide services on other platforms. Our growth initiatives in our existing geographies depend, in part, on our physician partners’ ability to increase their capacity to service Medicare patients, and to effectively meet increased patient demand. Our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners may encounter difficulties in recruiting additional primary care physicians to their practices due to many factors, including significant competition in their geographies. Accordingly, the loss or dissatisfaction of any physician partners, our to recruit and integrate physician partners into our model, or the of our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners to recruit additional primary care physicians or manage and scale capacity to timely meet patient demand, could substantially our brand and reputation, impact our competitiveness, inhibit widespread adoption of our platform, partnership and network model and our ability to attract new physician partners and maintain existing physician partnerships, both in new geographies and in geographies in which we currently operate, which could have a material effect on our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
Further, our growth strategy depends, in part, on securing and integrating new high-caliber physician partners and expanding into new geographies in which we have little or no operating experience. Integration and other risks can be more pronounced for larger and more complicated relationships or relationships outside of our core business space, or if multiple relationships are pursued simultaneously. Additionally, new geographies may be characterized by stakeholder preferences for, and experience with, rates of MA enrollment, MA reimbursement rates, the characteristics of the populations eligible for or covered by MA, payor concentration and rates of unnecessary variability in and utilization of medical care that differ from those in the geographies where our existing operations are located. Likewise, new geographies into which we seek to expand may have laws and regulations that differ from those applicable to our current operations that may delay, impede, or even preclude successful expansion into those markets. We may be unfamiliar with the regulatory requirements in each geography that we enter, and we may be forced to incur significant expenditures to ensure compliance with requirements to which we are subject. If we are or to incur such costs, our growth in new geographies may be less than in our current geographies.
Further, our growth to date has increased the significant demands on our management, operational and financial systems, infrastructure and human and capital resources. We must continue to improve our existing systems for operational and financial management, including our reporting systems, procedures and controls. These improvements have and could require significant capital expenditures and place increasing demands on our management. We may not be successful in managing or expanding our operations or in maintaining adequate financial and operating systems and controls. If we do not successfully manage these processes, our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations could be harmed.
If growth in the number of patients and physician partners on our platform decreases, or the number of services that we are able to provide to physician partners and members decreases, due to legal, regulatory, economic or business developments, our business, financial condition and results of operations will be harmed.
Substantially all of our total revenue relates to federal government healthcare programs. The policies and decisions made by the federal government regarding these programs have a substantial impact on the size of our membership base, the reimbursement rates among members and manner in which those rates are changed or updated, and our network of providers and therefore, our results of operation. Additionally, our future results of operations depend, in part, on our ability to expand our services and offerings, including broadening our continuum of care.
There are sometimes wide variations in the established per member reimbursement rates as a result of, among other things, members’ risk status, acuity levels and age, plan benefit design and geography. As the composition of our membership base changes, due to programmatic, competitive, regulatory, benefit design, economic or other changes, there is a corresponding change to our premium revenue, costs and margins, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
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Additional factors that could affect our ability to sell products and services include, but are not limited to:
• price, performance and functionality of our solution;
• availability, price, performance and functionality of competing solutions;
• our ability to develop and sell complementary services;
• stability, performance and security of our hosting infrastructure and hosting services; and
• changes in healthcare laws, regulations or trends.
Any of these consequences could lower retention rate and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
If the estimates and assumptions we use to project the size, revenue or medical expense amounts of our target geographies are inaccurate or the cost of providing services exceeds the amounts received by us, our future growth prospects may be impacted, and we may generate losses or fail to attain financial performance targets.
We often do not have access to reliable historical data regarding the size, revenue or medical expense levels of our target geographies or potential physician partners. As a result, our market opportunity estimates and financial forecasts developed as we enter into a new geography are subject to significant uncertainty, and are based on assumptions and estimates that may not prove to be accurate. The estimates and forecasts in this Form 10-K and our other public disclosures relating to the size and expected growth of the market for our services and the estimates of our market opportunity may prove to be inaccurate.
Principal assumptions relating to our market opportunity include estimates of the total number and average length of relationships between MA patients and their physicians, the ratings of the MA patients within the target market’s population, historical MA patient growth rates, amount of revenue and medical expenses associated with MA members expected to be attributed to our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners and historical experience that such physician partners have with a similar platform. Our market opportunity is based on the assumption that our platform, partnership and network model will be more attractive to potential physician partners than competing options. However, potential physician partners may elect to pursue a different strategic option.
Changes in our anticipated ratio of medical expense to revenue can significantly impact our financial results. Accordingly, the failure to adequately predict and control medical costs and expenses could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. Additionally, the medical expenses of patients may be outside of our affiliated providers’ control in the event that patients take certain actions that increase such expenses, such as unnecessary hospital visits. Numerous factors impact our ability to accurately estimate and control our medical expenses, many of which are not within our control. Factors that may cause medical expenses to exceed estimates include:
• the health status of our members, including changes to that status and ability to adjust MA reimbursement to reflect that risk, including due to changes in MA measurement of risk and reimbursement;
• higher levels of hospitalization among our members;
• higher than expected utilization of new or existing healthcare services or technologies;
• an increase in the cost of healthcare services and supplies, whether as a result of inflation, labor competition, or otherwise;
• changes to mandated benefits or other changes in healthcare laws, regulations and practices;
• increased costs attributable to specialist physicians, hospitals and ancillary providers;
• changes in the demographics of our members and medical trends;
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• contractual or claims disputes with providers, hospitals or other service providers within and outside a health plan’s network;
• the occurrence of catastrophes, major epidemics or pandemics, or acts of terrorism; and
• the reduction of health plan premiums.
Additionally, fluctuations in the magnitude of the hospital and physician network, including the discontinuation of a hospital or specialty or ancillary physician’s participation in our payors’ provider network, could adversely impact our business, financial condition, cash flows, and results of operations. If we underestimate or do not correctly predict the cost of the care our affiliated providers furnish to patients, we might be underpaid for the care that must be provided to patients, which could have a negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
We primarily depend on reimbursement by third-party payors, as well as payments by individuals, which could lead to delays, uncertainties and disagreements regarding the timing and process of reimbursement, including any changes or reductions in Medicare reimbursement rates or rules.
The reimbursement process is complex and can involve lengthy delays. Although we recognize revenue when we provide services to patients, we have experienced and may from time to time experience delays in receiving the associated capitation payments or, for patients on fee-for-service arrangements, the reimbursement for the service provided. In addition, third-party payors may disallow, in whole or in part, requests for reimbursement based on determinations that the patient is not eligible for coverage, certain amounts are not reimbursable under plan coverage, were for services provided that were not medically necessary, or additional supporting documentation is necessary. Third-party payors are also increasingly focused on controlling healthcare costs, and such efforts, including any revisions to reimbursement policies, may further reduce, complicate or delay our reimbursement claims. Further, the Medicare program and its reimbursement rates and rules, upon which many third-party payors base their reimbursement rate, are subject to frequent change. Each year, CMS issues a final rule to establish the MA benchmark payment rates for the following calendar year. Any reduction to MA reimbursement levels may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. Additionally, any or by the government in making Medicare reimbursement payments could materially and affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Retroactive adjustments may change amounts realized from third-party payors. As described below, we are subject to audits by such payors, including governmental audits of our Medicare claims, and may be required to repay these payors if a finding is made that we were incorrectly reimbursed. Delays, uncertainties and disagreements regarding the reimbursement process may adversely affect accounts receivable, increase the overall costs of collection and cause us to incur additional borrowing and other costs related to resolving disagreements or uncertainties. For example, in July 2021, a discrepancy was identified in the service agreement with one of our health plans in the way the revenue of Medicare Part C and Medicare Part D was being calculated compared to the definitions of “revenue” under the service agreement. This discrepancy resulted in a contract dispute and a renegotiation of the service agreement. In January 2023, the renegotiation was settled and we reflected the known settlement of $5.0 million within health plan settlements payable on our consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2022.
In addition, certain of our patients are covered under health plans that require the patient to cover a portion of their own healthcare expenses through the payment of copayments or deductibles. We may not be able to collect the full amounts due with respect to these payments that are the patient’s financial responsibility, or in those instances where physicians provide services to uninsured individuals. To the extent permitted by law, amounts not covered by third-party payors are the obligations of individual patients for which we may not receive whole or partial payment. Any increase in cost shifting from third-party payors to individual patients, including as a result of high deductible plans for patients, increases our collection costs and reduces overall collections, which we may not be able to offset with sufficient revenue.
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the CMS, the federal agency responsible for administering the Medicare program, made several changes in the manner in which Medicare pays for telehealth visits, many of which relax previous requirements, including site requirements for both the providers and patients, telehealth modality requirements and others. State law applicable to telehealth, particularly licensure requirements, was also relaxed in many jurisdictions as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Although telehealth flexibilities have been durable since the end of the COVID-19 pandemic, the availability of these flexibilities and extent to which Medicare will pay for remote care is the subject of annual legislation to fund Medicare and the annual publication of the Physician Fee Schedule. While Telehealth has generally remained intact during 2025 and Medicare will permit many telehealth services through December 31, 2027, the lack of permanent
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legislation assuring its funding as covered services will create periodic uncertainty regarding the long-term future of telehealth as an avenue of providing services to patients, and makes the availability of this service subject to periodic political or fiscal debates. If laws or regulations change to restrict our ability to or prohibit us from delivering care through telehealth modalities, our financial condition and results of operations may be adversely affected.
The termination or non-renewal of the Medicare Advantage contracts held by the health plans with which we contract, or the termination or nonrenewal of our contracts with those plans, could have a material adverse effect on our revenue and operations.
We contract with health plans to provide capitated care services with respect to certain of their MA members. Our operations are dependent on a concentrated number of payors with whom we contract to provide services to members. Our contracts with four health plans to provide capitated care services for their members collectively accounted for approximately 75% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025. If a plan with which we contract for these services loses its MA contracts with CMS, receives reduced or insufficient government reimbursement under the MA program, decides to discontinue its MA and/or commercial plans, decides to contract with another company to provide capitated care services to its members, or decides to directly provide care, our contract with that plan could be at risk and we could lose revenue. Increased attention to the costs of the MA program in the media and within HHS may result in smaller-than-expected increases in MA reimbursement and make participation in MA less desirable in comparison to other plans, such as traditional FFS Medicare. On January 26, 2026, CMS issued its Advance Notice identifying proposed methodological changes to risk calculation and capitation beginning in calendar year 2027, soliciting public comments in response to these proposals before finalizing MA’s payment rules for calendar year 2027. This public comment period ended on February 25, 2026, with more than 46,500 comments received by CMS. Although the Advance Notice identifies an growth rate of 4.97%, CMS’s own calculations estimate that the average increase in MA reimbursement will be 0.09% compared to calendar year 2026. This Advance Notice also proposes changes in risk adjustment methodology and star ratings for MA plans under HHS’s mandatory five-star rating system. In addition, certain of our contracts with health plans are terminable without cause. If any of these contracts were , certain patients covered by such plans may choose to shift to another PCP within their health plan’s network. Moreover, our to maintain our agreements with health plans, in particular with key payors such as Centene Corporation, Atrio Health Plans, United Healthcare, Humana and Aetna, with respect to their MA members or to negotiate terms for those agreements in the future, could result in the of patients and could have a material effect on our and business.
The healthcare industry has also experienced and continues to experience a trend of consolidation, resulting in fewer but larger payors that have significant bargaining power, given their market share. Payments from payors are the result of negotiated rates. These rates may decline based on renegotiations and larger payors having significant bargaining power to negotiate higher discounted fee arrangements with healthcare providers. As a result, payors increasingly are demanding discounted fee structures or the assumption by healthcare providers of all or a portion of the financial risk related to paying for care provided through capitation agreements.
We are dependent on our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners and other providers to effectively manage the quality and cost of care and perform obligations under payor contracts.
Our success depends upon our continued ability to collaborate with and expand a network of high-caliber affiliated professional entities and other physician partners who can provide high quality of care, improve clinical outcomes and effectively manage healthcare costs, which are key drivers of our results of operations. Our physician partners could demand an increased payment arrangement or take other actions, or fail to take actions, that could result in higher medical costs, lower quality of care for our members, harm to our reputation or create difficulty meeting regulatory or other requirements. Likewise, our physician partners could take actions contrary to our instructions, requests, policies or objectives or applicable law, or could have economic or business interests or goals that are or become inconsistent with our own. Further, our physician partners may not engage with our platform to assist in improving overall quality of care and management of healthcare costs, which could produce results that are inconsistent with our estimates and financial models and impact our growth.
In addition to receiving care from our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners, our members also receive care from an array of hospitals, specialists and ancillary providers who typically contract directly with our payors. We cannot guarantee the quality and efficiency of services from such providers, over which we have no control. Members who receive sub-optimal healthcare from such providers may be dissatisfied with our physician partners, which would have a negative impact on member satisfaction and retention. Any of these consequences could adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
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We could also experience significant losses if the expenses incurred to deliver healthcare services to our attributed members exceed revenue we receive from payors in respect of our attributed members. Under a capitation contract, a payor typically prospectively pays periodic capitation payments representing a prospective budget from which its physician partnerships manage healthcare expenses on behalf of the population enrolled with that physician partnership. To manage total medical services expense, we rely on our affiliated professional entities’ and other physician partners’ ability to improve clinical outcomes, implement clinical initiatives to provide a better healthcare experience for our members and accurately and sufficiently document the risk profile of our members. While our contracts vary, generally, if the cost of medical care provided exceeds the corresponding capitated revenue we receive, we may realize operating deficits, which are typically not capped, and could lead to substantial losses.
Reductions in the quality ratings of the health plans we serve could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
As a result of the ACA, the level of reimbursement each health plan receives from CMS is dependent, in part, upon the quality rating of the MA plan. Such ratings impact the percentage of any cost savings rebate and any bonuses earned by such health plan. Since a significant portion of our revenue is expected to be calculated as a percentage of CMS reimbursement received by these health plans with respect to our patients, reductions in the quality ratings of a health plan that we serve could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Given each health plan’s control of its plans and the many other providers that serve such plans, we believe that we will have limited ability to influence the overall quality rating of any such plan. The Bipartisan Budget Act, passed in February 2018, implemented certain changes to prevent artificial inflation of star ratings for MA plans offered by the same organization, with such ratings subject to CMS’s regulation and oversight through periodic recalibration of ratings criteria and data relied upon for such calculations. In addition, CMS has terminated plans that have had a rating of less than three stars for three consecutive years, whereas MA plans with five stars are permitted to conduct enrollment throughout almost the entire year. On January 26, 2026, CMS issued its Advance Notice identifying proposed methodological changes to risk calculation and capitation beginning in calendar year 2027, which proposes changes to this star rating system for MA plans that may be more stringent and result in reduced average reimbursement for MA organizations and their providers if finalized. Because low quality ratings can potentially lead to the termination of a plan that we serve, we may not be able to prevent the potential termination of a contracting plan or a shift of patients to other plans based upon quality issues which could, in turn, have a material effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
We operate in a competitive industry, and if we are not able to compete effectively, our business, financial condition and results of operations will be harmed.
Our industry is competitive and we expect it to continue to attract increased competition, which could make it difficult for us to succeed. We currently face competition in various aspects of our business, including in offering a favorable reimbursement structure for physician partners and potential physician partners and attracting payors and physician partners who are not contracted with us, from a range of companies that provide similar services under different care models that could attract patients, providers and payors, including hospitals, managed service organizations and provider networks and data analysis consultants. Further, individual physicians who are contracted within our network may affiliate with our competitors. Competition from hospitals, managed service organizations and provider networks and data analysis consultants, payors and other parties could result in payors changing the benefit structure that is offered to our members, which could negatively impact our profitability and market share.
Our primary competitors include Aledade, Astrana Health, Inc. and agilon health, inc., in addition to numerous local provider networks, hospitals and health systems. Moreover, large, well-financed payors have in some cases developed their own managed services tools and may provide these services to their physicians and patients at discounted prices, or may seek to expand their relationships with additional competing physicians or physician networks, including in geographic areas we serve. This may result in a more competitive environment and increased challenges to grow at the rates we have projected. We expect that competition will continue to increase as a result of consolidation in the healthcare industry and increased demand for its services.
Some of our competitors may have greater name recognition, particularly in local geographies, longer operating histories, superior products or services and significantly greater resources than we do. Further, our current or potential competitors may be acquired by or partner with third parties with greater resources than we have. As a result, our competitors may be able to respond more quickly and effectively than we can to new or changing opportunities, technologies, standards or customer requirements and may have the ability to initiate or withstand substantial benefits
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structure and premium competition. In addition, current and potential competitors have established, and may in the future establish, cooperative relationships with providers of complementary services, technologies or services to increase the attractiveness of their services.
Accordingly, new competitors or alliances may emerge that have greater market share, a larger customer base, better data aggregation systems, greater marketing expertise, greater financial resources and larger marketing teams than we have, which could put us at a competitive disadvantage. Our competitors could also be better positioned to serve certain segments of the healthcare delivery industry, which could create additional pressure on the premiums that our payors are able to charge. If we are unable to successfully compete, our business, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Our future growth and the success of our business will depend in large part upon the effectiveness and efficiency of our marketing efforts, and our ability to develop brand awareness cost-effectively.
Our business success depends on our ability to attract and retain members, which significantly depends on our marketing practices. Our future growth and ability to achieve profitability will depend in large part upon the effectiveness and efficiency of our marketing efforts, including our ability to:
• create greater awareness of our brand;
• identify the most effective and efficient levels of spending in each market, media and specific media vehicle;
• determine the appropriate creative messages and media mix for advertising, marketing and promotional expenditures;
• effectively manage marketing costs (including creative and media) to maintain acceptable consumer acquisition costs;
• select the most effective markets, media and specific media vehicles in which to advertise; and
• convert consumer inquiries into clients and members.
We believe that developing and maintaining widespread awareness of our brand in a cost-effective manner is critical to achieving widespread adoption of our services and attracting new clients and members. Our brand promotion activities may not generate consumer awareness or increase revenue, and even if they do, any increase in revenue may not offset the expenses we incur in building our brand. If we fail to successfully promote and maintain our brand, or incur substantial expenses in doing so, we may fail to attract or retain members necessary to realize a sufficient return on our brand-building efforts or to achieve the widespread brand awareness that is critical for broad adoption of our brands.
Developments affecting spending by the healthcare industry could adversely affect our business.
The U.S. healthcare industry has changed significantly in recent years, and we expect that significant changes will continue to occur, including as a result of the current U.S. Presidential administration. Future changes are expected as a result of the upcoming midterm Congressional elections in 2026. General reductions in expenditures by healthcare industry participants could result from, among other things:
• government regulations or private initiatives that affect the manner in which healthcare providers interact with patients, payors or other healthcare industry participants, including changes in pricing or means of delivery of healthcare products and services;
• consolidation of healthcare industry participants;
• finalization of the calendar year 2027 MA rates, including any changes to risk adjustment and other factors that affect the total spending allocated to the MA program;
• reductions in government funding for healthcare, whether for providers, beneficiaries, or otherwise; and
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• adverse changes in business or economic conditions affecting healthcare payors or providers or other healthcare industry participants.
Any of these changes in healthcare spending could adversely affect our revenue. Even if general expenditures by industry participants remain the same or increase, developments in the healthcare industry may result in reduced spending in some or all of the specific markets that we serve now or in the future. The timing and impact of developments in the healthcare industry are difficult to predict. We cannot assure you that the demand for our solutions and services will continue to exist at current levels or that we will have adequate technical, financial, and marketing resources to react to changes in the healthcare industry.
We and our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners may become subject to medical liability claims, which could cause us to incur significant expenses and may require us to pay significant damages if the claims are not covered by insurance.
Our overall business entails the risk of medical liability claims. Successful medical liability claims could result in substantial damage awards that exceed the limits of our and those affiliated professionals’ insurance coverage. Legislative changes in California and Nevada have resulted in increased damages that can be recovered in medical liability claims. Relatedly, legislative changes in Nevada have resulted in changes to the coverage requirements for medical liability insurance policies when defending and paying claims, resulting in upward pressure on premiums, and may result in increased deductibles or self-insurance requirements for such policies. We carry or will carry professional liability insurance for the Company and each of our healthcare professionals. Additionally, all of the network providers that contract or will contract with us separately carry or will carry professional liability insurance for themselves and their healthcare professionals. Professional liability insurance is expensive and insurance premiums may increase significantly in the future, particularly as we expand our services. As a result, adequate professional liability insurance may not be available to us and our affiliated professionals in the future at acceptable costs or at all, which may impact our and our affiliated professionals’ ability to provide services to members, and thereby affect our overall business and operations.
Any claims made against us or our affiliated professionals that are not fully covered by insurance could be costly to defend against, result in substantial damage awards, and divert the attention of our management and our affiliated professional entities from our operations, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, any claims may adversely affect our business or reputation.
If we or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners fail to comply with applicable data interoperability and information blocking rules, our consolidated results of operations could be adversely affected.
The Cures Act included many provisions related to data interoperability, information blocking and patient access. In March 2020, the HHS, Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology, which is now known as the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Technology Policy and Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology (“ASTP/ONC”), and CMS finalized and issued complementary rules that are intended to clarify provisions of the Cures Act regarding interoperability and information blocking, known as the Information Blocking Rule, which took effect in 2022. This rule includes, among other things, requirements surrounding information blocking, changes to ASTP/ONC’s health IT certification program and requirements that CMS regulated payors make relevant claims/care data and provider directory information available through standardized patient access and provider directory application programming interfaces that connect to provider electronic health record systems. The Information Blocking Rule affected the information sharing and accessibility practices of healthcare providers, health IT developers, health information exchanges/health information networks (“HIEs/HINs”), and health plans, including us. For example, this rule prohibits healthcare providers, health IT developers of certified health IT, and HIEs/HINs from engaging in practices that are likely to interfere with, prevent, materially discourage, or otherwise inhibit the access, exchange or use of electronic health information (“EHI”), also known as “information blocking.” To further support access and exchange of EHI, the ASTP/ONC rule identifies eight “reasonable and necessary activities” as exceptions to information blocking activities, as long as specific conditions are met. In June 2023, HHS finalized its regulations implementing statutory for information blocking, which are up to $1 million per . Enforcement of information blocking began on September 1, 2023; subsequent rulemaking in December 2023 and December 2024 narrowed the scope of entities that qualify as certified health IT developers, updated Health IT Certification Program requirements, modified information blocking exceptions, added a definition of “reproductive health care,” created a new Protecting Care Access Exception and finalized revisions to the Privacy and Infeasibility Exceptions. Any to comply with these rules could have a material effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
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Our business and operations would suffer in the event of information technology system failures, security breaches, cyberattacks or other deficiencies in cybersecurity.
Our information technology systems facilitate our ability to conduct our business. While we have disaster recovery systems and business continuity plans in place, any disruptions in our disaster recovery systems or the failure of these systems to operate as expected could, depending on the magnitude of the problem, materially adversely affect our operating results by limiting our capacity to effectively monitor and control our operations. Despite our implementation of a variety of security measures, our information technology systems have been and could be subject to physical or electronic break-ins, and similar disruptions from unauthorized tampering or any weather-related disruptions where our headquarters is located. In addition, in the event that a significant number of our management personnel were unavailable in the event of a disaster, our ability to effectively conduct business could be affected.
In the ordinary course of our business, we, our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners collect and store sensitive data, including personal information, protected health information (“PHI”), intellectual property and proprietary business information owned or controlled by us or our employees, members and other parties (collectively, “Confidential Information”). We manage and maintain our applications and data utilizing a combination of on-site systems and cloud-based data centers. We utilize external security and infrastructure vendors to provide and manage parts of our information technology systems, including our data centers. These applications and data encompass a wide variety of business-critical information, including research and development information, customer information, commercial information and business and financial information. We face a number of risks with respect to the protection of this Confidential Information, including loss of access, inappropriate use or disclosure, unauthorized access, inappropriate modification and the risk of being unable to adequately monitor and audit and modify our controls over our Confidential Information. This risk extends to the third-party vendors and subcontractors we use to manage this sensitive data or otherwise process it on our behalf. A or of our or our third-party vendors’ or subcontractors’ network, hosted service providers or vendor systems could result from a variety of circumstances and events, including third-party action, employee or , , malware (e.g., ransomware), misconfigurations, “bugs” or other , computer viruses, by computer hackers such as -of-service and phishing attacks, during the process of upgrading or replacing software and databases, power , hardware , telecommunication , user , or events. If these third-party vendors or subcontractors to protect their information technology systems and our Confidential Information, we may be to in service and access to our Confidential Information and we could incur liability and reputational .
The secure processing, storage, maintenance and transmission of information are vital to our operations and business strategy, and we devote significant resources to protecting such Confidential Information. Although we take reasonable measures to protect sensitive data from unauthorized access, use or disclosure, our information technology and infrastructure may still be vulnerable. We have in the past experienced low-threat attacks by hackers or breaches due to employee error, malfeasance or other malicious or inadvertent disruptions. For example, in April 2023 we were the target of a type of wire transfer fraud known as a business email compromise (“BEC”) scam. BEC scams involve using social engineering to cause employees to wire funds to the perpetrators in the mistaken belief that the requests were made by a company executive or established vendor. While this fraud did not cause material to us, it reflects that we are continually to the risk of being targeted for a .
Attacks upon information technology systems are increasing in their frequency, levels of persistence, sophistication and intensity, and are being conducted by sophisticated and organized groups and individuals with a wide range of motives and expertise. Furthermore, because the techniques used to obtain unauthorized access to, or to sabotage, systems change frequently and often are not recognized until launched against a target, we may be unable to anticipate these techniques or implement adequate preventative measures against hacking, phishing, spoofing, BEC, employee error or manipulation, or other similar adverse events. We may also experience security breaches that may remain undetected for an extended period. Even if identified, we may be unable to adequately investigate or remediate or due to attackers increasingly using tools and techniques that are designed to controls, to avoid detection, and to remove or obfuscate forensic evidence.
Any such breach or interruption could compromise our networks and the Confidential Information stored there could be accessed by unauthorized parties, publicly disclosed, lost or stolen. Our information systems must also be continually updated, patched and upgraded to protect against known vulnerabilities. The volume of new vulnerabilities has increased markedly, as has the criticality of patches and other remedial measures. In addition to remediating newly identified vulnerabilities, previously identified vulnerabilities must also be continuously addressed. Accordingly, we are at risk that cyberattackers exploit these known vulnerabilities before they have been addressed.
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Past and future cyberattacks or security incidents could result in legal claims or administrative or civil proceedings, and liability under federal or state laws that protect the privacy of personal information, and corresponding regulatory penalties. In addition, we could face criminal liability, damages for contract breach and incur significant costs for remedial measures to prevent future occurrences and mitigate past violations. Notice of breaches may be required to be made to affected individuals, HHS, or other state or federal regulators; for extensive breaches, notice may need to be made to the media or State Attorneys General. Such a notice could harm our reputation and our ability to compete. Although we maintain insurance covering certain security and privacy damages and claim expenses, we may not carry insurance or maintain coverage sufficient to compensate for all liability and in any event, insurance coverage would not address the reputational that could result from a security . our implementation of security measures to prevent access, our data is currently accessible through multiple channels, and there is no guarantee we can protect our data from . access, or dissemination could also our operations and our reputation, any of which could affect our business.
Actual or perceived failures to comply with applicable data protection, privacy and security laws, regulations, standards and other requirements could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Numerous state and federal laws, regulations, standards and other legal obligations, including consumer protection laws and regulations, which govern the collection, dissemination, use, access to, confidentiality, security and processing of personal information, including health-related information, could apply to our operations or the operations of our partners. For example, HIPAA imposes privacy, security and breach notification obligations on certain healthcare providers, health plans, and healthcare clearinghouses, known as covered entities, as well as their business associates that perform certain services that involve creating, receiving, maintaining or transmitting individually identifiable health information for or on behalf of such covered entities, and their covered subcontractors. HIPAA requires covered entities, such as the affiliated professional entities or other physician partners, and business associates, such as us, to develop and maintain policies with respect to the protection of, use and disclosure of PHI, including the adoption of administrative, physical and technical safeguards to protect such information, and certain notification requirements in the event of a breach of unsecured PHI.
Additionally, under HIPAA, covered entities must report breaches of unsecured PHI to affected individuals without unreasonable delay, not to exceed 60 days following discovery of the breach by a covered entity or its agents. Notification also must be made to the HHS Office for Civil Rights and, in certain circumstances involving large breaches, to the media and disclosed on the internet. Business associates, as defined in the HIPAA regulations, must report breaches of unsecured PHI to covered entities within 60 days of discovery of the breach by the business associate or its agents. A non-permitted use or disclosure of PHI is presumed to be a breach under HIPAA unless the covered entity or business associate establishes that there is a low probability the information has been compromised consistent with requirements enumerated in HIPAA.
Entities that are found to be in violation of HIPAA as the result of a breach of unsecured PHI, a complaint about privacy practices (including refusal of access to PHI) or an audit by HHS may be subject to significant civil and administrative fines and penalties, and may even face criminal penalties, in addition to potential additional reporting and oversight obligations if required to enter into a resolution agreement and corrective action plan with HHS to settle allegations of HIPAA non-compliance. HIPAA also authorizes state attorneys general to file suit on behalf of their residents. Courts may award damages, costs and attorneys’ fees related to violations of HIPAA in such cases. While HIPAA does not create a private right of action allowing individuals to sue us in civil court for violations of HIPAA, its standards have been used as the basis for duty of care in state civil suits such as those for or in the or of PHI.
The Federal Trade Commission (the “FTC”) also has authority to initiate enforcement actions against entities that mislead customers about HIPAA compliance, make deceptive statements about privacy and data sharing in privacy policies, fail to limit third-party use of personal health information, fail to implement policies to protect personal health information or engage in other unfair practices that harm customers or that may violate Section 5(a) of the FTC Act, including for healthcare-related information that is beyond the scope of HIPAA. Even when HIPAA does not apply, the FTC treats violations of consumers’ privacy rights or failing to take appropriate steps to keep consumers’ personal information secure may constitute unfair and/or deceptive acts or practices in violation of Section 5(a) of the Federal Trade Commission Act and, where applicable, its related Health Notification Rule, which imposes HIPAA-like reporting obligations on companies that maintain individuals’ healthcare information that is not subject to HIPAA’s protections. The FTC expects a company’s data security measures to be reasonable and appropriate in light of the sensitivity and volume of consumer information it holds, the size and complexity of its business, and the cost of available tools to security and reduce . We expect even by federal and state regulators, partners, and consumers of our
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collection, use and disclosure of health information. Additionally, federal and state consumer protection laws are increasingly being applied by FTC and states’ attorneys general to regulate the collection, use, storage, and disclosure of personal information, through websites or otherwise, and to regulate the presentation of website content.
Further, certain states have also adopted comparable privacy and security laws and regulations which govern the privacy, processing and protection of health-related and other personal information. Such laws and regulations are subject to interpretation by various courts and other governmental authorities, thus creating potentially complex compliance issues for us and our future customers and strategic partners. For example, the state of Nevada enacted a law that went into force on October 1, 2019 and requires companies to honor consumers’ requests to no longer sell their data. Further, the California Consumer Privacy Act, as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act (collectively, the “CCPA”) requires covered businesses that process the personal information of California residents to, among other things: provide certain disclosures to California residents regarding the business’s collection, use, and disclosure of their personal information; receive and respond to requests from California residents to access, delete, and correct their personal information, or to opt out of certain disclosures of their personal information, and enter into specific contractual provisions with service providers that process California resident personal information on the business’s behalf. Nevada enacted a similar revision to its privacy laws through the 2019 Nevada Privacy Law, which took effect on October 1, 2019. Specific to medical information, California’s Confidentiality of Medical Information Act (the “CMIA”) places restrictions on the use and disclosure of health information, including PHI, and other personal information, and can impose a significant compliance obligation. of the CMIA can result in , civil and administrative sanctions, and the CMIA also provides individuals a private right of action with respect to disclosures of their health information that CMIA. In the event that we are subject to or affected by HIPAA, the CCPA, or other domestic privacy and data protection laws, any liability from to comply with the requirements of these laws could affect our financial condition.
Washington State also enacted a broadly applicable law to protect the privacy of personal health information known as the “My Health My Data Act,” which generally requires affirmative consent for the collection, use, or sharing of any “consumer health data.” Consumer health data is defined to include personal information that is linked or reasonably linkable to a consumer and that identifies a consumer’s past, present, or future physical or mental health status; consumer health data also includes information that is derived or extrapolated from non-health information, such as algorithms and machine learning. Nevada has also passed a similar consumer health data law, and given the increased focus on the use of health data by entities that are not subject to HIPAA, additional states are expected to pass consumer health privacy laws.
Although we work to comply with applicable laws, regulations and standards, our contractual obligations and other legal obligations, these requirements are evolving and may be modified, interpreted and applied in an inconsistent manner from one jurisdiction to another, and may conflict with one another or other legal obligations with which we must comply. Any failure or perceived failure by us or our employees, representatives, contractors, consultants, collaborators, or other third parties to comply with such requirements or adequately address privacy and security concerns, even if unfounded, could result in additional cost and liability to us, damage our reputation, and adversely affect our business and results of operations.
Any future litigation against us could be costly and time-consuming to defend.
We may become subject, from time to time, to legal proceedings, federal and state audits, government investigations, and payor audits, investigations, civil investigative demands, overpayments, and claims that arise in the ordinary course of business such as claims brought by our clients in connection with commercial disputes or employment claims made by our current or former associates. Litigation and audits may result in substantial costs and may divert management’s attention and resources, which may substantially harm our business, financial condition and results of operations. Insurance may not cover such claims, may not provide sufficient payments to cover all of the costs to resolve one or more such claims and may not continue to be available on terms acceptable to us. A claim brought us that is or could result in costs, thereby reducing our earnings and analysts or potential investors to reduce their expectations of our performance, which could reduce the market price of our Class A common stock or publicly traded warrants.
Changes in U.S. tax laws, and the adoption of tax reform policies or changes in tax legislation or policies in jurisdictions outside of the United States, could adversely affect our operating results and financial condition.
We are subject to federal and state income and non-income taxes in the United States. Tax laws, regulations, and administrative practices in various jurisdictions may be subject to significant change, with or without notice, due to economic, political, and other conditions, and significant judgment is required in evaluating and estimating these taxes. In
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particular, changes in presidential, congressional, state and local administrations in the United States could result in significant changes in, and uncertainty with respect to, tax legislation, regulation and government policy directly affecting our business or indirectly affecting us because of impacts on our members, providers and vendors.
Our effective tax rates could be affected by numerous factors, such as entry into new businesses and geographies, changes to our existing business and operations, acquisitions and investments and how they are financed, changes in our stock price, changes in our deferred tax assets and liabilities and their valuation, and changes in the relevant tax, accounting, and other laws, regulations, administrative practices, principles and interpretations. We are required to take positions regarding the interpretation of complex statutory and regulatory tax rules and on valuation matters that are subject to uncertainty, and tax authorities may challenge the positions that we take.
Our quarterly results may fluctuate significantly, which could adversely impact the value of our Class A common stock and publicly traded warrants.
Our quarterly results of operations, including our revenue, net loss and cash flows, have varied and may vary significantly in the future, and period-to-period comparisons of our results of operations may not be meaningful. Accordingly, our quarterly results should not be relied upon as an indication of future performance. Our quarterly financial results may fluctuate as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are outside of our control, including, without limitation, the following:
• our ability to maintain and grow the number of members on our platform;
• the demand for and types of services that are offered on our platform by providers;
• the timing of recognition of revenue, including possible delays in the recognition of revenue due to sometimes unpredictable implementation timelines;
• the timing of cash sweeps for prior rendered services;
• the amount and timing of operating expenses related to the maintenance and expansion of our business, operations and infrastructure;
• our ability to effectively manage the size and composition of our network of healthcare providers relative to the level of demand for services from our members and our clients’ members and patients;
• our ability to respond to competitive developments, including pricing changes and the introduction of new products and services by our competitors;
• client and member renewal rates and the timing and terms of client and member renewals;
• changes to our pricing model, including due to lack of growth or reductions in MA reimbursement levels;
• our ability to introduce new features and services and enhance our existing platform and our ability to generate significant revenue from new features and services;
• the impact of outages of our platform and associated reputational harm;
• security or data privacy breaches and associated remediation costs;
• impairment charges;
• the timing of expenses related to the development or acquisition of technologies or businesses; and
• pandemics or epidemics.
Any fluctuation in our quarterly results may not accurately reflect the underlying performance of our business and could cause a decline in the trading price of our Class A common stock and publicly traded warrants.
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Our only significant asset is the ownership of a minority of the economic interest in P3 LLC, and such ownership may not be sufficient to generate the funds necessary to meet our financial obligations or to pay any dividends on our Class A common stock.
We have no direct operations and no significant assets other than the ownership of a minority of the economic interests in P3 LLC. As of December 31, 2025, we owned approximately 46% of the economic interests in P3 LLC. We depend on P3 LLC and its subsidiaries for distributions, loans and other payments to generate the funds necessary to meet our financial obligations, including to satisfy our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement, or to pay any dividends with respect to our Class A Common Stock. Legal and contractual restrictions in agreements governing the indebtedness of P3 LLC and its subsidiaries limit our ability to obtain cash from P3 LLC. The earnings from, or other available assets of, P3 LLC and its subsidiaries may not be sufficient to enable us to satisfy our financial obligations, including our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement, or pay any dividends on our Class A common stock should we decide to do so. P3 LLC is classified as a partnership for U.S. federal income tax purposes and, as such, is generally not be subject to entity level U.S. federal income tax. Instead, taxable income is allocated to holders of P3 LLC units, including us. As a result, we generally will incur taxes on our allocable share of any net taxable income generated by P3 LLC. Under the terms of the P3 LLC Amended and Restated Limited Liability Company Agreement (the “P3 LLC A&R LLC Agreement”), and the Tax Receivable Agreement, P3 LLC is obligated to make tax distributions or payments to holders of its P3 LLC units, including us, except to the extent such distributions or payments would render P3 LLC or are otherwise prohibited by law or the terms of any credit facility. In addition to our tax payment obligations, we also incur expenses related to our operations and our interests in P3 LLC, including costs and expenses of being a publicly traded company, all of which could be significant. To the extent that we require funds and P3 LLC or its subsidiaries are restricted from making distributions under applicable law or regulation or under the terms of their financing arrangements, or are otherwise to provide such funds, it could materially affect our liquidity and financial condition, including our ability to pay our income taxes when due.
Our business could be adversely impacted by climate change, extreme weather conditions and natural disasters.
The intensifying effects of climate change present physical, liability, and transition risks with both macro and micro implications for companies and financial markets. There is increasing concern that a gradual increase in global average temperatures due to increased concentration of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are causing significant changes in weather patterns around the globe and an increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters. Changes in weather patterns and an increased frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events (such as floods, droughts, hurricanes, wildfires and severe storms), whether as a result of climate change or otherwise, could, among other things, disrupt our operations or damage or destroy our headquarters or owned or managed clinics, which may cause us to suffer losses and additional costs to maintain or resume operations, which could have an adverse impact on our business and results of operations. Public health arising from such extreme weather events and natural or effects of climate change could also impact our business operations and result in increased medical care costs. For example, natural , such as a wildfire affecting California, could have significant impacts on the health of a large number of our members. In addition, implementing changes to mitigate risks associated with such events may result in substantial short- and long-term additional operational expenses, which could have a material effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition.
Changes in laws and regulations related to AI Technologies could adversely affect our products, services, and results of operations.
We use artificial intelligence (“AI”), machine learning, and automated decision-making technologies (collectively, “AI Technologies”) in our business. The regulatory framework for AI Technologies is rapidly evolving as many federal, state, and foreign government bodies and agencies have introduced or are currently considering additional laws and regulations that govern the use of AI Technologies in healthcare applications, including for documentation, administrative tasks, and utilization in the review, denial, or appeal of claims. Additionally, existing laws and regulations may be interpreted in ways that would affect the operation of AI Technologies. As a result, implementation standards and enforcement practices are likely to remain uncertain for the foreseeable future, and we cannot yet determine the impact future laws, regulations, standards, or market perception of their requirements may have on our business and may not always be able to anticipate how to respond to these laws or regulations.
It is possible that new laws and regulations will be adopted in the United States, or that existing laws and regulations, including competition and antitrust laws, may be interpreted in ways that would limit our ability to use AI Technologies for our business, or require us to change the way we use AI Technologies in a manner that negatively affects
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the performance of our products, services, and business and the way in which we use AI Technologies. We may need to expend resources to adjust our products or services in certain jurisdictions if the laws, regulations, or decisions are not consistent across jurisdictions. Further, the cost to comply with such laws, regulations, or decisions and/or guidance interpreting existing laws, could be significant and would increase our operating expenses (such as by imposing additional reporting obligations regarding our use of AI Technologies).
Risks Related to Our Legal and Regulatory Environment
We conduct business in a heavily regulated industry and if we fail to adhere to all of the complex government laws and regulations that apply to our business, we could incur fines or penalties or be required to make changes to our operations or experience adverse publicity, any or all of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, and reputation.
The U.S. healthcare industry is heavily regulated and closely scrutinized by federal, state and local governments. Comprehensive statutes and regulations govern the manner in which we provide and bill for services and collect reimbursement from governmental programs and private payors, our contractual relationships and arrangements with healthcare providers and vendors, our marketing activities and other aspects of our operations. Of particular importance are:
• the AKS, which prohibits the knowing and willful offer, payment, solicitation or receipt of any bribe, kickback, rebate or other remuneration for referring an individual, in return for ordering, leasing, purchasing or recommending or arranging for or to induce the referral of an individual or the ordering, purchasing or leasing of items or services covered, in whole or in part, by any federal healthcare program, such as Medicare and Medicaid. Although there are several statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting certain common activities from prosecution, the exceptions and safe harbors are drawn narrowly. By way of example, the AKS safe harbor for value-based arrangements requires, among other things, that the arrangement does not induce a person or entity to reduce or limit medically necessary items or services furnished to any patient. Failure to meet the requirements of a safe harbor, however, does not render an arrangement illegal, although such arrangements may be subject to greater scrutiny by government authorities. Further, a person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it to have committed a ;
• the Stark Law, which, subject to limited exceptions, prohibits physicians from referring Medicare or Medicaid patients to an entity for the provision of DHS, if the physician or a member of such physician’s immediate family has a direct or indirect financial relationship (including an ownership interest or a compensation arrangement) with the entity, and prohibits the entity from billing Medicare or Medicaid for such DHS. Unlike the AKS, the Stark Law is violated if the financial arrangement does not meet an applicable exception, regardless of any intent by the parties to induce or reward referrals or the reasons for the financial relationship and the referral;
• the FCA, which imposes civil and criminal liability on individuals or entities that knowingly submit false or fraudulent claims for payment to the government or knowingly make, or cause to be made, a false statement in order to have a false claim paid, including qui tam or whistleblower suits. There are many potential bases for liability under the FCA. The government has used the FCA to prosecute Medicare and other government healthcare program fraud; including alleged upcoding or improper coding of diagnosis codes under the risk-adjustment methodology, billing for services not provided, and providing care that is not medically necessary or that is substandard in quality. In addition, we could be held liable under the FCA if we are deemed to “cause” the submission of or by, for example, providing billing, coding or risk adjustment information to our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners through Provider Portal and Analytic Management Tools, respectively. The government may also assert that a claim including items or services resulting from a of the AKS or Stark Law constitutes a or claim for purposes of the FCA;
• the Civil Monetary Penalties Statute, which prohibits, among other things, an individual or entity from offering remuneration to a federal healthcare program beneficiary that the individual or entity knows or should know is likely to influence the beneficiary to order or receive healthcare items or services from a particular provider;
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• the criminal healthcare fraud provisions of HIPAA and related rules that prohibit knowingly and willfully executing a scheme or artifice to defraud any healthcare benefit program or falsifying, concealing or covering up a material fact or making any material false, fictitious or fraudulent statement in connection with the delivery of or payment for healthcare benefits, items or services. Similar to the AKS, a person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it to have committed a violation;
• reassignment of payment rules that prohibit certain types of billing and collection practices in connection with claims payable by the Medicare or Medicaid programs;
• similar state law provisions pertaining to anti-kickback, self-referral and false claims issues, some of which may apply to items or services reimbursed by any payor, including patients and commercial insurers;
• laws that regulate debt collection practices;
• a provision of the Social Security Act that imposes criminal penalties on healthcare providers who fail to disclose, or refund known overpayments;
• federal and state laws that prohibit providers from billing and receiving payment from Medicare and Medicaid for services unless the services are medically necessary, adequately and accurately documented, and billed using codes that accurately reflect the type and level of services rendered; and
• federal and state laws pertaining to the provision of services by nurse practitioners and physician assistants in certain settings, physician supervision of those services, and reimbursement requirements that depend on the types of services provided and documented and relationships between physician supervisors and nurse practitioners and physician assistants.
The laws and regulations in these areas are complex, changing and often subject to varying interpretations. As a result, there is no guarantee that a government authority will find that we or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners are in compliance with all such laws and regulations that apply to our business. Further, because of the breadth of these laws and the narrowness of the statutory exceptions and safe harbors available, it is possible that some of the business activities undertaken by us or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners could be subject to challenge under one or more of these laws, including, without limitation, our patient assistance programs that waive or reduce the patient’s obligation to pay copayments, coinsurance or deductible amounts owed for the services we provide to them if they meet certain financial need criteria.
After recent settlements by the U.S. Department of Justice (“DOJ”), in December 2024, the OIG issued a special fraud alert concerning certain marketing arrangements between healthcare professionals (“HCPs”) and MA brokers and agents, as well as MA organizations. The OIG stated that certain payments from MA organizations to HCPs or their staff relating to MA plan marketing and enrollment, as well as payments from HCPs to agents, brokers and others in exchange for referring Medicare enrollees to a particular HCP, can result in abusive arrangements that could lead to improper steering, anticompetitive conduct and other harms to enrollees and to the Medicare program. In June 2024, we received a civil investigative demand (“CID”) from the DOJ pursuant to the False Claims Act in the course of the government’s investigation concerning our arrangements with insurance agents and brokers. The CID requests documentation and information relating to the marketing of our broker programs and our arrangements with, and remuneration paid to, MA brokers, agents and agencies, as well as our arrangements with third parties relating to these programs. We are cooperating with the and providing the requested information. No assurance can be given as to the timing or outcome of the government’s .
If our operations are found to be in violation of any of such laws or any other governmental regulations that apply, we may be subject to significant penalties, including, without limitation, administrative, civil and criminal penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, the curtailment or restructuring of operations, integrity oversight and reporting obligations, exclusion from participation in federal and state healthcare programs and imprisonment. In addition, any action against us or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners for violation of these laws or regulations, even if we successfully defend it, could cause us to incur significant legal expenses, our management’s attention from the operation of our business and result in publicity, or otherwise experience a material impact on our business, results of operations, financial condition, cash flows, reputation as a result.
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If any of our affiliated professional entities, other physician partners or owned or managed clinics lose their regulatory licenses, permits, accreditations and/or registrations, as applicable, or become ineligible to receive reimbursement under Medicare, Medicaid or other third-party payors, there may be a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, cash flows, or results of operations.
The operations of our owned and managed clinics through our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners are subject to extensive federal, state and local regulation relating to, among other things, the adequacy of medical care, equipment, personnel, operating policies and procedures, fire prevention, rate-setting, compliance with building codes and environmental protection and proof of financial ability to operate. Our owned and managed clinics and affiliated professional entities and other physician partners are also subject to extensive laws and regulation relating to facility and professional licensure, conduct of operations, including financial relationships among healthcare providers, Medicare, Medicaid and state fraud and abuse and physician self-referrals, and maintaining updates to our affiliated professional entities’ and other physician partners’ enrollment in the Medicare and Medicaid programs, including the addition of new clinic locations, providers and other enrollment information. Our owned and managed clinics and affiliates professional entities are subject to periodic inspection by licensing authorities and accreditation organizations to assure their continued compliance with these various standards. There can be no assurance that these regulatory authorities will determine that all applicable requirements are fully met at any given time. Should any of our owned or managed clinics or affiliated professional entities be found to be with these requirements, we could be assessed and , could be required to refund reimbursement amounts or could our licensure or Medicare and/or Medicaid certification so that we or our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners are to receive reimbursement from such programs and possibly from other third-party payors, any of which could materially affect our business, financial condition, cash flows or results of operations. See “— The evolving regulation of value-based reimbursement models and regulation, licensure and oversight by state regulatory authorities as a risk-bearing entity may have a material effect on our operations. ”
If our arrangements with our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners are found to constitute the improper rendering of medical services or fee splitting under applicable state laws, our business, financial condition and our ability to operate in those states could be adversely impacted.
Our contractual relationships with our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners may implicate certain state laws that generally prohibit non-professional entities from providing licensed medical services or exercising control over licensed physicians or other healthcare professionals (such activities generally referred to as the “corporate practice of medicine”) or engaging in certain practices such as fee-splitting with such licensed professionals. The interpretation and enforcement of these laws vary significantly from state to state. There can be no assurance that these laws will be interpreted in a manner consistent with our practices or that other laws or regulations will not be enacted in the future that could have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Regulatory authorities, state boards of medicine, state attorneys general and other parties may assert that, despite the agreements through which we operate, we are engaged in the provision of medical services and/or that our arrangements with our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners constitute unlawful fee-splitting. If a jurisdiction’s prohibition on the corporate practice of medicine or fee-splitting is interpreted in a manner that is inconsistent with our practices, we would be required to or our arrangements with our affiliated professional entities and other physician partners to bring our activities into compliance with such laws. A determination of non-compliance, or the of or to these relationships could result in professional action, , , , and/or a of revenue, any of which could have a material and effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. State corporate practice and fee-splitting prohibitions also often impose on healthcare professionals for aiding in the rendering of professional services, which could physicians and other healthcare professionals from providing clinical services to members of the health plans with whom we contract.
We face inspections, reviews, audits and investigations under federal and state government programs and contracts. These audits could have adverse findings that may negatively affect our business, including our results of operations, liquidity, financial condition and reputation.
As a result of our participation in the Medicare and Medicaid programs, we are subject to various governmental inspections, reviews, audits and investigations to verify our compliance with these programs and applicable laws and
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regulations. Other third-party payors may also reserve the right to conduct audits. We also periodically conduct internal audits and reviews of our regulatory compliance. An adverse inspection, review, audit or investigation could result in:
• refunding amounts we have been paid pursuant to the Medicare or Medicaid programs or from payors;
• state or federal agencies imposing fines, penalties and other sanctions on us;
• temporary suspension of payment for new patients to the facility or agency;
• decertification or exclusion from participation in the Medicare or Medicaid programs or one or more payor networks;
• self-disclosure of violations to applicable regulatory authorities;
• damage to our reputation;
• the revocation of a facility’s or agency’s license;
• criminal penalties;
• a corporate integrity agreement with HHS’s OIG; and
• loss of certain rights under, or termination of, our contracts with payors.
We have in the past and will likely in the future be required to refund amounts we have been paid and/or pay fines and penalties as a result of these inspections, reviews, audits and investigations. If adverse inspections, reviews, audits or investigations occur and any of the results noted above occur, it could have a material adverse effect on our business and operating results. Furthermore, the legal, document production and other costs associated with complying with these inspections, reviews, audits or investigations could be significant.
Our records and submissions to a health plan may contain inaccurate or unsupportable information regarding risk adjustment scores of members, which could cause us to overstate or understate our revenue and subject us to various penalties.
The claims and encounter records that we submit to health plans may impact data that support the Medicare Risk Adjustment Factor (“RAF”) scores attributable to members. These RAF scores determine, in part, the revenue to which the health plans and, in turn, we or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners are entitled for the provision of medical care to such members. The data submitted to CMS by each health plan is based, in part, on medical charts and diagnosis codes that we prepare and submit to the health plans. Each health plan generally relies on us and our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners to appropriately document and support such RAF data in our medical records. Each health plan also relies on us and our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners to appropriately code claims for medical services provided to members. Erroneous claims and erroneous encounter records and submissions could result in inaccurate revenue and risk adjustment payments, which may be subject to correction or retroactive adjustment in later periods. This corrected or adjusted information may be reflected in financial statements for periods subsequent to the period in which the revenue was recorded. We might also need to refund a portion of the revenue that we received, which refund, depending on its magnitude, could our relationship with the applicable health plan and could have an effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Additionally, CMS audits MA plans for documentation to support RAF-related payments for members chosen at random. The MA plans ask providers to submit the underlying documentation for members that they serve. It is possible that claims associated with members with higher RAF scores could be subject to more scrutiny in a CMS or plan audit. There is a possibility that an MA plan may seek repayment from us should CMS make any payment adjustments to the MA plan as a result of its audits. The plans also may hold us liable for any penalties owed to CMS for inaccurate or unsupportable RAF scores provided by us or our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners. In addition, we could be liable for penalties to the government under the federal FCA, that include a monetary penalty adjusted for inflation on an annual basis for each false claim, plus up to three times the amount of damages caused by each false claim, which can be as much as the amounts received directly or indirectly from the government for each such claim.
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CMS has indicated that payment adjustments will not be limited to RAF scores for the specific MA enrollees for which errors are found but may also be extrapolated to the entire MA plan subject to a particular CMS contract. Based on a final rule issued by CMS in January 2023, overpayments to MA plans that are identified as a result of a Risk Adjustment Data Validation (“RADV”) audit will be subject to extrapolation for plan year 2018 and any subsequent plan year. On November 14, 2024, CMS initiated the payment year 2018 MA RADV audits and expects to begin issuing payment year 2018 audit findings in mid-calendar year 2026. In addition, CMS will not apply an adjustment factor, known as an FFS Adjuster, in RADV audits to account for potential differences in diagnostic coding between the MA program and Medicare FFS program. We are continuing to assess the potential impact this final rule may have on our business and operations.
On March 31, 2023, CMS issued its final 2024 Medicare Advantage Rate Announcement, which implements a three-year phase-in of certain changes to the methodology CMS will use to perform risk adjustment for plan years 2024 through 2026. Under the new risk adjustment model that was implemented in 2024, CMS has changed the manner by which over 2,000 diagnosis codes, across a range of disease and condition categories, are considered for purposes of patient risk scoring, with certain of these codes no longer impacting risk scoring. On April 1, 2024, CMS released the 2025 Medicare Advantage Rate Announcement, which continues the three-year phase in by blending 67% of the risk score calculated using the updated 2024 MA risk adjustment model with 33% of the risk score calculated using the 2020 MA risk adjustment model. While the codes subject to changes represent only a fraction of the total number of conditions considered for purposes of risk adjustment, this change and any future changes to CMS’s risk adjustment methodology could impact the revenue we record from MA plans.
On January 26, 2026, CMS issued its Advance Notice identifying proposed methodological changes to risk calculation and capitation beginning in calendar year 2027, soliciting public comments in response to these proposals before finalizing MA’s payment rules for calendar year 2027. Although the Advance Notice identifies an effective growth rate of 4.97%, CMS’s own calculations estimate that the average increase in MA reimbursement will be 0.09% compared to calendar year 2026. Other changes are proposed that may heighten the standards required for patient risk adjustment to be captured in data reported to or evaluated by CMS when calculating MA reimbursement rates and may result in reduced reimbursement relative to the actual risk levels of patients and patient populations. This January 25, 2026 Advance Notice also sets forth potential changes to the measurement of MA plans’ star ratings, which may also result in reductions in capitated payments and total reimbursement to the MA organizations offering those plans, and their providers. The exact outcome of these proposals and their potential effects on our business are uncertain until CMS issues its 2027 Medicare Advantage Rate Announcement, which is expected in the second quarter of 2026.
There can be no assurance that a health plan will not be randomly selected or targeted for review by CMS or that the outcome of such a review will not result in a material adjustment in our revenue and profitability, even if the information we submitted to the plan is accurate and supportable.
The impact of recent healthcare legislation and other changes in the healthcare industry and in healthcare spending is currently unknown, but may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The impact of healthcare reform legislation and other changes in the healthcare industry and in healthcare spending is currently unknown, but may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Our revenue is dependent on the healthcare industry and could be affected by changes in healthcare spending, reimbursement and policy. The healthcare industry is subject to changing political, regulatory and other influences. By way of example, the ACA, which was enacted in 2010, made major changes in how healthcare is delivered and reimbursed, and it increased access to health insurance benefits to the uninsured and underinsured populations of the United States.
Since its enactment, there have been judicial, executive and Congressional challenges to certain aspects of the ACA. On June 17, 2021, the U.S. Supreme Court dismissed the most recent judicial challenge to the ACA brought by several states without specifically ruling on the constitutionality of the ACA.
Other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted since the ACA was enacted. These changes include aggregate reductions to Medicare payments to providers, which began in 2013 and will remain in effect through the first six months of fiscal year 2032, with the exception of a temporary suspension from May 1, 2020 through March 31, 2022, unless additional Congressional action is taken. In January 2013, the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 was signed into law, which, among other things, further reduced Medicare payments to several types of providers, including hospitals, imaging centers and cancer treatment centers, and increased the statute of limitations period for the government to recover overpayments to providers from three to five years. New laws may result in additional reductions in Medicare and other healthcare funding, which may materially adversely affect consumer demand and affordability for our products and
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services and, accordingly, the results of our financial operations. Additional changes that may affect our business include the expansion of new programs such as Medicare payment for performance initiatives for physicians under the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act of 2015 (“MACRA”), which first affected physician payment in 2019. At this time, it is unclear how the introduction of the Medicare quality payment program will impact overall physician reimbursement.
Such changes in the regulatory environment may also result in changes to our payer mix that may affect our operations and revenue. In addition, certain provisions of the ACA authorize voluntary demonstration projects, which include the development of bundling payments for acute, inpatient hospital services, physician services and post-acute services for episodes of hospital care. Further, the ACA may adversely affect payors by increasing medical costs generally, which could have an effect on the industry and potentially impact our business and revenue as payors seek to offset these increases by reducing costs in other areas.
In addition, new legislative proposals to reform healthcare and government insurance programs, along with the trend toward managed healthcare in the United States, could result in reduced demand and prices for our services. The full effects of the changes to the healthcare system included in the OBBBA, which became law in July of 2025, are still being experienced and determined. We expect that additional state and federal healthcare reform measures will be adopted in the future, any of which could limit the amounts that federal and state governments and other third-party payers will pay for healthcare products and services, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The evolving regulation of value-based reimbursement models and regulation, licensure and oversight by state regulatory authorities as a risk-bearing entity may have a material adverse effect on our operations.
Regulation of downstream risk-sharing arrangements, including, but not limited to, global risk and other value-based arrangements, varies significantly from state to state. Some states require downstream entities and risk-bearing entities to obtain an insurance license, a certificate of authority, or an equivalent authorization, in order to participate in downstream risk-sharing arrangements with payors. In some states, statutes, regulations and/or formal guidance explicitly address whether and in what manner the state regulates the transfer of risk by a payor to a downstream entity. However, the majority of states do not explicitly address the issue, and in such states, regulators may nonetheless interpret statutes and regulations to regulate such activity. If downstream risk-sharing arrangements are not regulated directly in a particular state, the state regulatory agency may nonetheless require oversight by the licensed payor as the party to such a downstream risk-sharing arrangement. Such oversight is accomplished via contract and may include the imposition of reserve requirements, as well as reporting obligations. Further, state regulatory stances regarding downstream risk-sharing arrangements can change rapidly and codified provisions may not keep pace with evolving risk-sharing mechanisms and other new value-based reimbursement models. Certain of the states where we currently operate or may choose to operate in the future regulate the operations and financial condition of risk bearing organizations like us and our affiliated providers. These regulations can include capital requirements, licensing or certification, governance controls and other similar matters. As a result, new and existing laws, regulations or guidance could have a material effect on our operations and could subject us to the risk of or our arrangements with our affiliated professional entities or other physician partners, as well as the risk of regulatory enforcement, and sanctions, if state and federal enforcement agencies with our interpretation of these laws. In addition, Medcore HP, which we acquired in 2021, is a licensed health plan under California’s Knox Keene Act, which subjects the entity to certain capital requirements, licensing or certification, governance controls, utilization review and procedures, among others. Non-compliance with the Knox-Keene Act may result in an enforcement action, and , and, in cases, on or of the Knox-Keene license. In August 2024, the Office of Enforcement for the California Department of Managed Health Care conducted an of Medcore HP and imposed an administrative of $150,000 and a corrective action plan based on Medcore HP’s to meet minimum levels of tangible net equity and for filing of certain annual reports and monthly financial statements. Although these have not had a material impact on our business to date, as we continue to expand, these rules may require additional resources and capitalization and add complexity to our business.
Regulatory proposals directed at containing or lowering the cost of healthcare, including ACO REACH, and our participation, voluntary or otherwise, in such proposed models, could impact our business, financial condition, cash flows and operations.
The CMS Innovation Center continues to test an array of value-based alternative payment models. In 2023, the CMS Innovation Center launched the Accountable Care Organization Realizing Equity, Access, and Community Health (“ACO REACH”) Model (formerly known as the Global and Professional Direct Contracting Model) to replace the prior ACO models that provided for direct contracting between ACOs and CMS. The REACH model allowed participating
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ACOs to negotiate directly with the government to manage traditional Medicare beneficiaries and share in the savings and risks generated from managing such beneficiaries. We have an ACO established in Arizona, Nevada, California and Oregon participating in the REACH model. The REACH model is scheduled to expire on December 31, 2026.
The REACH model is expected to be directly succeeded by the Long-term Enhanced ACO Design (“LEAD”) model for ACOs, which is scheduled to operate from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2036. We expect to participate in the ACO LEAD program and other ACO programs that CMS and the CMS Innovation Center may announce in the future. The ACO LEAD model’s 10-year duration is expected to encourage predictable, long-term investment in healthcare delivery. CMS’s messaging around the ACO LEAD program indicates that it will address issues that ACOs have reported under the ACO REACH model, with the ACO LEAD model intended to improve ACO coordination with specialists, data-sharing between ACOs, care for patients dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, more favorable risk adjustments for complex patients, relaxed standards for ACOs that are new or rurally based, and rebasing of ACO benchmarks once per decade, instead of annual rebasing under ACO REACH. Other enhancements will be available under the ACO LEAD model, including the availability of medical nutrition therapy, buying down the premiums of beneficiaries’ Medicare Part D prescription drug premiums, and incentives for dietary interventions and availability of beneficial hemp-based products where they are legal. More details regarding ACO LEAD, including CMS’s selection of participating ACOs from those that apply in the spring of 2026, and the new model’s implementation before its January 1, 2027 start date, are expected throughout 2026, particularly if CMS accepts our application to participate in the ACO LEAD model. Additionally, other ACO models are expected from the CMS Center that may operate in conjunction with, or separate from, the ACO LEAD model. The exact details of other forthcoming and anticipated ACO models currently are unknown and how those models will affect our business cannot be fully anticipated at this time.
The exact impacts of the ACO LEAD Model and future ACO models in which we expect to participate are unknown and may not be known until CMS finalizes associated rules, publishes, and implements them. Nonetheless, we expect these care models, requirements for participation, and payment rules to affect our business in the future. Just as CMS changes and has changed payment metrics and conditions for the ACO REACH model on an annual basis, it is expected that the ACO LEAD model will be subject to similar changes, and across the wider range of factors addressed within the new model.
In addition, there likely will continue to be regulatory proposals directed at containing or lowering the cost of healthcare, as government healthcare programs and other third-party payors transition from FFS to value-based reimbursement models, which can include risk-sharing, bundled payment and other innovative approaches. It is possible that the federal or state governments will implement additional reductions, increases, or changes in reimbursement in the future under government programs that may adversely affect us or increase the cost of providing our services. The implementation of cost containment measures or other healthcare reforms may prevent us from being able to generate revenue or attain growth, any of which could have a material impact on our business.
Risks Related to Ownership of Our Common Stock
Our failure to meet the continued listing requirements of The Nasdaq Capital Market could result in a delisting of our securities.
We are required to meet the continued listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market and if we fail to satisfy such continued listing requirements, Nasdaq may take steps to delist our securities. For example, on November 12, 2025, we received a deficiency letter (the “Letter”) from the Listing Qualifications Department (“the Staff”) of Nasdaq indicating that we did not maintain a minimum of $2.5 million of stockholders’ equity under the Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(b)(1) (the “Listing Rule”). The Letter also indicated that we do not currently meet either of the alternative standards relating to market value of listed securities or net income from continuing operations set forth in the Listing Rule.
The notification does not immediately affect the listing of our Class A common stock or warrants on Nasdaq. We submitted a plan to regain compliance, which Nasdaq accepted and has granted us an extension through May 20, 2026 to allow us to evidence compliance. If we are otherwise unable to regain compliance within the applicable time period, our securities could be subject to delisting. We would then be entitled to appeal the Staff’s determination to the Nasdaq Hearings Panel. We are evaluating and pursuing alternatives to regain compliance and intend to take the actions necessary to restore compliance within the permitted timeframe. However, there can be no assurance that we will be able to restore compliance.
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Delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market would cause us to pursue eligibility for trading of our securities on other markets or exchanges, or on the “pink sheets.” In such case, our stockholders’ ability to trade, or obtain quotations of the market value of our Class A common stock would be severely limited because of lower trading volumes and transaction delays. These factors could contribute to lower prices and larger spreads in the bid and ask prices of our Class A common stock. There can be no assurance that our securities, if delisted from the Nasdaq Capital Market in the future, would be listed on a national securities exchange, a national quotation service, the over-the-counter markets or the pink sheets. Delisting from the Nasdaq Capital Market, or even the issuance of a notice of potential delisting, would also result in negative publicity, make it more difficult for us to raise additional capital, adversely affect the market liquidity of our securities, decrease securities analysts’ coverage of us or investor confidence. Moreover, there is no assurance that any actions that we take will be in restoring our compliance with the Listing Rule or will prevent future non-compliance therewith. There is also no assurance that we will maintain compliance with the other listing requirements of The Nasdaq Capital Market.
Failure to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and stock price and may adversely affect investor confidence in our company and, as a result, the value of our Class A common stock and your investment.
Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (the “Sarbanes-Oxley Act”) requires us to evaluate the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting as of the end of each fiscal year, including a management report assessing the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting. For as long as we are a “non-accelerated filer,” our independent registered public accounting firm will not be required to attest to the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting pursuant to Section 404. An independent assessment of the effectiveness of our internal controls could detect problems that our management’s assessment might not. Our ability to comply with the annual internal control reporting requirements will depend on the effectiveness of our financial reporting and data systems and controls across our company. We expect these systems and controls to require additional investment as we become increasingly more complex and our business grows. To effectively manage this complexity, we will need to continue to maintain and revise our operational, financial and management controls, and our reporting systems and procedures. Certain weaknesses or deficiencies or failures to implement required new or improved controls, or difficulties encountered in the implementation or operation of these controls, could our operating results and cause us to to meet our financial reporting obligations, or result in material in our financial statements, which could affect our business and reduce our stock price.
In connection with the audits of our consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021, and, as previously reported, the restatement of our consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, we previously identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting. In response to these material weaknesses, we implemented a comprehensive remediation plan as discussed under the heading “Remediation Activities” in Part II, Item 9A, “ Controls and Procedures .” Based on these remediation efforts, our management has concluded the material weaknesses have been remediated as of December 31, 2024. However, we cannot assure you that there will not be material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting in the future and that the measures we have taken to date, and actions we may take in the future, will be sufficient to prevent or avoid potential future material weaknesses. A material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting could result in an increased probability of fraud, financial statement , the potential of customers, from our stockholders, reduction in our ability to obtain financing, and require additional expenditures to remediate. Our to implement and maintain internal control over financial reporting could result in in our financial statements that could result in of investor confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports and a in our stock price, and we could be subject to sanctions or by the SEC or other regulatory authorities.
We cannot predict the impact our dual-class structure may have on the stock price of our Class A common stock.
We cannot predict whether our dual-class structure will result in a lower or more volatile market price of our Class A common stock or in adverse publicity or other adverse consequences. Certain investors, including large institutional investors, may prefer companies that do not have multiple share classes or may have investment guidelines that preclude them from investing in companies that have multiple share classes. In addition, certain index providers have previously implemented, and may in the future determine to implement, restrictions on including companies with multiple share classes in certain of their indices. For example, from July 2017 to April 2023, S&P Dow Jones excluded companies with multiple share classes from the S&P Composite 1500 (composed of the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600). Indices have discretion to reassess and implement such policies with respect to multi-class differing voting right
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structures. Under any such policies, our dual-class capital structure would make us ineligible for inclusion in any of these indices. As a result, the market price of our Class A common stock could be materially adversely affected.
Delaware law and our certificate of incorporation and bylaws contain certain provisions, including anti-takeover provisions that limit the ability of stockholders to take certain actions and could delay or discourage takeover attempts that stockholders may consider favorable.
Our certificate of incorporation and bylaws, and the General Corporation Law of the State of Delaware (“DGCL”), contain provisions that could have the effect of rendering more difficult, delaying, or preventing an acquisition that stockholders may consider favorable, including transactions in which stockholders might otherwise receive a premium for their shares. These provisions could also limit the price that investors might be willing to pay in the future for shares of Class A common stock, and therefore depress the trading price of Class A common stock. These provisions could also make it difficult for stockholders to take certain actions, including electing directors who are not nominated by the current members of our board of directors or taking other corporate actions, including effecting changes in our management. Among other things, the certificate of incorporation and the bylaws include provisions:
• providing for a classified board of directors with staggered, three-year terms;
• regarding the ability of the board of directors to issue shares of preferred stock, including “blank check” preferred stock and to determine the price and other terms of those shares, including preferences and voting rights, without stockholder approval, which could be used to significantly dilute the ownership of a hostile acquirer;
• prohibiting cumulative voting in the election of directors, which limits the ability of minority stockholders to elect director candidates;
• regarding the limitation of the liability of, and the indemnification of, directors and officers;
• providing that certain transactions are not “corporate opportunities” and that, subject to certain exceptions, Foresight Sponsor Group, LLC, (the “Sponsor”) or its affiliates and any of their respective principals, members, directors, partners, stockholders, officers, employees or other representatives, or any director or stockholder who is not employed by us or our subsidiaries, are not subject to the doctrine of corporate opportunity and such persons do not have any fiduciary duty to refrain from engaging directly or indirectly in the same or similar business activities or lines of business as us or any of our subsidiaries;
• regarding the ability of the board of directors to amend the bylaws, which may allow the board of directors to take additional actions to prevent an unsolicited takeover and inhibit the ability of an acquiror to amend the bylaws to facilitate an unsolicited takeover attempt; and
• regarding advance notice procedures with which stockholders must comply to nominate candidates to the board of directors or to propose matters to be acted upon at a stockholders’ meeting, which could preclude stockholders from bringing matters before annual or special meetings of stockholders and delay changes in the board of directors and also may discourage or deter a potential acquirer from conducting a solicitation of proxies to elect the acquirer’s own slate of directors or otherwise attempting to obtain control of our company.
These provisions, alone or together, could delay or prevent hostile takeovers and changes in control or changes in our board of directors or management.
The Sponsor, its affiliates and representatives, non-employee directors and other non-employee stockholders of the Company are not limited in their ability to compete with us, and the corporate opportunity provisions in our certificate of incorporation could enable such persons to benefit from corporate opportunities that might otherwise be available to us, which presents potential conflicts of interest.
Our certificate of incorporation provides that subject to certain exceptions, the Sponsor and its affiliates and any of their respective principals, members, directors, partners, stockholders, officers, employees or other representatives, or any director or stockholder of the Company who is not employed by us or our subsidiaries, would not be restricted from
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owning assets or engaging in businesses that compete directly or indirectly with us or any of our subsidiaries. In particular, subject to the limitations of applicable law and the certificate of incorporation, these persons may among other things:
• engage in a corporate opportunity in the same or similar business activities or lines of business in which we or our affiliates have a reasonable expectancy interest or property right;
• purchase, sell or otherwise engage in transactions involving securities or indebtedness of us or our affiliates, provided that such transactions do not violate our insider trading policies; and
• otherwise compete with us.
One or more of these persons may become aware, from time to time, of certain business opportunities (such as acquisition opportunities) and may direct such opportunities to other businesses in which they have invested, in which case we may not become aware of or otherwise have the ability to pursue such opportunities. Further, such businesses may choose to compete with us for these opportunities, possibly causing these opportunities to not be available to us or causing them to be more expensive for us to pursue. As a result, our renunciation of our interest and expectancy in any business opportunity that may be from time to time be presented to such persons, could adversely impact our business or prospects if attractive business opportunities are procured by such parties for their own benefit rather than for ours.
The provision of our certificate of incorporation requiring exclusive forum in certain courts in the State of Delaware or the federal district courts of the United States for certain types of lawsuits may have the effect of discouraging lawsuits against our directors and officers.
Our certificate of incorporation requires, to the fullest extent permitted by law, that (i) any derivative action or proceeding brought on our company’s behalf, (ii) any action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any of our directors, officers or stockholders to our company or our stockholders, (iii) any action asserting a claim against our company arising pursuant to any provision of the DGCL or the certificate of incorporation or our bylaws or (iv) any action asserting a claim against our company governed by the internal affairs doctrine will have to be brought in a state court located within the State of Delaware (or if no state court of the State of Delaware has jurisdiction, the federal district court for the District of Delaware), in all cases subject to the courts having personal jurisdiction over the indispensable parties named as defendants. The foregoing provision will not apply to claims seeking to enforce any liability or duty created by the Exchange Act.
Additionally, unless we consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, the federal district courts of the United States of America shall be the exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action arising under the Securities Act.
Although we believe these exclusive forum provisions benefit our company by providing increased consistency in the application of Delaware law and federal securities laws in the types of lawsuits to which each applies, the exclusive forum provisions may limit a stockholder’s ability to bring a claim in a judicial forum that it finds favorable for disputes with us or any of our directors, officers or stockholders, which may discourage lawsuits with respect to such claims. Further, in the event a court finds either exclusive forum provision contained in our certificate of incorporation to be unenforceable or inapplicable in an action, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could harm our business, operating results and financial condition.
An active, liquid trading market for our Class A common stock may not be sustained.
There can be no assurance that we will be able to maintain an active trading market for our Class A common stock on Nasdaq or any other exchange in the future. If an active market for our Class A common stock is not maintained, or if we fail to satisfy the continued listing standards of Nasdaq for any reason and our Class A common stock is delisted, it may be difficult for our stockholders to sell their Class A common stock without depressing the market price for our Class A common stock, or at all. See “ Our failure to meet the continued listing requirements of The Nasdaq Capital Market could result in a delisting of our securities ,” below. An inactive trading market may also impair our ability to both raise capital by selling shares of capital stock, attract and motivate employees through equity incentive awards and acquire other companies, products, or technologies by using shares of capital stock as consideration.
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There may be sales of a substantial amount of our Class A common stock in future by our stockholders, and these sales could cause the price of our Class A common stock to fall.
As of December 31, 2025, there were approximately 3.3 million shares of Class A common stock outstanding and an additional approximately 3.9 million shares of Class V common stock, which are exchangeable, together with P3 LLC units, for an equivalent number of shares of Class A common stock. Our issued and outstanding shares of Class A common stock are freely transferable, except for any shares held by our “affiliates,” as that term is defined in Rule 144 under the Securities Act. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 50.4% of the outstanding shares of Class A common stock (on an as-converted and as-exchanged basis) were held by entities affiliated with us and our executive officers and directors.
In addition, pursuant to certain registration rights agreements that we have entered into with certain of our stockholders, we are obligated to register the resale of shares of Class A common stock held by such stockholders and issuable upon the exercise or exchange of securities held by such stockholders. In addition, certain of these stockholders are entitled to demand the registration of such shares of Class A common stock subject to certain minimum requirements and also have certain “piggyback” registration rights with respect to registration statements we file.
Upon effectiveness of any registration statement we file for the resale of shares held by such stockholders, and upon the expiration of any applicable lock-up periods applicable to such stockholders, these stockholders may sell large amounts of our Class A common stock in the open market or in privately negotiated transactions, which could have the effect of increasing the volatility in the share price of our Class A common stock or putting significant downward pressure on the price of our Class A common stock.
Sales of substantial amounts of our Class A common stock in the public market, or the perception that such sales will occur, could adversely affect the market price of our Class A common stock and make it difficult for us to raise funds through securities offerings in the future.
Risks Related to Our Warrants
Our warrants may have an adverse effect on the market price of our Class A common stock.
Foresight issued 0.2 million warrants to purchase shares of our Class A common stock (the “Public Warrants”) as part of the units offered in its initial public offering and, simultaneously with the closing of its initial public offering, Foresight issued in a private placement an aggregate of 16,650 units, including (i) an aggregate of 5,550 private placement warrants, each exercisable to purchase one share of Class A common stock at $575.00 per share, subject to adjustment (the “Private Placement Warrants”), and (ii) an aggregate of 16,650 shares of Class A common stock.
Since December 2022, in various private placement transactions and in connection with our issuance of our outstanding promissory notes (see Note 11 “Debt” to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Form 10-K), we have issued warrants and pre-funded warrants to purchase an aggregate of 8.2 million shares of Class A common stock.
To the extent such warrants are exercised, additional shares of our Class A common stock will be issued, which will result in dilution to our stockholders and increase the number of shares of Class A common stock eligible for resale in the public market. Sales of substantial numbers of such shares in the public market or the fact that such warrants may be exercised could adversely affect the market price of our Class A common stock.
We may redeem unexpired Public Warrants prior to their exercise at a time that is disadvantageous to our stockholders, thereby making the Public Warrants worthless to our stockholders.
We have the ability to redeem outstanding Public Warrants at any time after they become exercisable and prior to their expiration, at a price of $0.50 per Public Warrant if, among other things, the last reported sales price of our Class A common stock equals or exceeds $900.00 per share (as adjusted for stock splits, stock dividends, reorganizations, recapitalizations and the like) for any 20 trading days within a 30 trading-day period ending on the third trading day prior to the date we send the notice of such redemption to the Public Warrant holders. If and when the Public Warrants become redeemable by us, we may exercise our redemption right even if we are unable to register or qualify the underlying securities for sale under all applicable state securities laws. Redemption of the outstanding Public Warrants could force our stockholders (i) to exercise their Public Warrants and pay the exercise price therefor at a time when it may be disadvantageous for them to do so, (ii) to sell their Public Warrants at the then-current market price when you might
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otherwise wish to hold your Public Warrants or (iii) to accept the nominal redemption price which, at the time the outstanding Public Warrants are called for redemption, is likely to be substantially less than the market value of your Public Warrants.
In addition, we may redeem the Public Warrants commencing 90 days after they become exercisable and prior to their expiration, at a price of $5.00 per Public Warrant if, among other things, the last reported sale price of our Class A common stock equals or exceeds $500.00 per share (as adjusted for stock splits, stock dividends, reorganizations, recapitalizations and the like) on the trading day prior to the date on which we send the notice of redemption to the Public Warrant holders. In such a case, the holders will be able to exercise their Public Warrants for cash or on a cashless basis prior to redemption and receive that number of shares of Class A common stock determined based on the redemption date and the fair market value of our Class A common stock. The value received upon exercise of the Public Warrants (1) may be less than the value the holders would have received if they had exercised their Public Warrants at a later time where the underlying share price is higher and (2) may not compensate the holders for the value of the Public Warrants, including because the number of shares of Class A common stock received in connection with such an exercise is capped at 0.00722 shares of Class A common stock per whole Public Warrant (subject to adjustment) irrespective of the remaining life of the Public Warrants.
None of the Private Placement Warrants will be redeemable by us so long as they are held by the Sponsor or its permitted transferees.
Certain of our warrants are accounted for as liabilities and the changes in value of these warrants could have a material effect on our financial results.
On April 12, 2021, the Acting Chief Accountant and Acting Director of the Division of Corporation Finance of the SEC published a statement on the SEC’s website indicating that the terms of the public and private warrants issued by many special purpose acquisition companies may need to be accounted for as liabilities, rather than as equity (the “SEC Warrant Accounting Statement”). As a result of the SEC Warrant Accounting Statement, Foresight, along with many other current and former special purpose acquisition companies, concluded that certain warrants should be presented as liabilities with subsequent fair value remeasurement and engaged a valuation firm to determine the fair market value of its warrants. Accordingly, Foresight reevaluated the accounting treatment of the Public Warrants to purchase 216.4 thousand shares of Class A common stock and Private Placement Warrants to purchase 5.6 thousand shares of Class A common stock, and determined to classify all of the warrants as derivative liabilities measured at fair value, with changes in fair value each period reported in earnings.
As a result, included on our consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2025 contained elsewhere in this Form 10-K are derivative liabilities related to embedded features contained within the warrants. Accounting Standards Codification 815, Derivatives and Hedging, provides for the remeasurement of the fair value of such derivatives at each balance sheet date, with a resulting non-cash gain or loss related to the change in the fair value being recognized in earnings in the statements of operations. As a result of the recurring fair value measurement, our financial statements and results of operations may fluctuate quarterly, based on factors, which are outside of our control. Due to the recurring fair value measurement, we expect that we will recognize non-cash gains or losses on our warrants each reporting period and that the amount of such gains or losses could be material.
Risks Related to the Tax Receivable Agreement
Our sole material asset is our interest in P3 LLC, and, accordingly, we depend on distributions from P3 LLC to pay our taxes and expenses, including payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement. P3 LLC’s ability to make such distributions may be subject to various limitations and restrictions.
We are a holding company and have no material assets other than our ownership in P3 LLC. As such, we have no independent means of generating revenue or cash flow, and our ability to pay taxes and operating expenses or declare and pay dividends in the future, if any, will be dependent upon the financial results and cash flows of P3 LLC and its subsidiaries, and distributions we receive from P3 LLC. There can be no assurance that P3 LLC and its subsidiaries will generate sufficient cash flow to distribute funds to us, or that applicable state law and contractual restrictions, including negative covenants in any debt agreements of P3 LLC or its subsidiaries, will permit such distributions. The credit agreement governing P3 LLC’s credit facilities restrict its ability to make distributions to the Company, and future debt instruments or other agreements may restrict the ability of P3 LLC to make distributions to the Company or of P3 LLC’s subsidiaries to make distributions to P3 LLC.
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P3 LLC is treated as a partnership for U.S. federal income tax purposes and, as such, generally will not be subject to any entity-level U.S. federal income tax. Instead, taxable income will be allocated to holders of P3 LLC Units, including us. Accordingly, we will incur income taxes on our allocable share of any net taxable income of P3 LLC. Under the terms of the P3 LLC A&R LLC Agreement, P3 LLC will be obligated, subject to various limitations and restrictions, including with respect to any debt agreements, to make tax distributions to holders of P3 LLC Units, including us. In addition to tax expenses, we will also incur expenses related to our operations, including payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, which could be substantial. We intend, as its sole manager, to cause P3 LLC to make cash distributions to the owners of P3 LLC Units in an amount sufficient to (i) fund all of such owners’ tax obligations in respect of taxable income allocated to such owners and (ii) cover our operating expenses, including payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement. However, P3 LLC’s ability to make such distributions may be subject to various limitations and restrictions, such as restrictions on distributions under contracts or agreements to which P3 LLC is then a party, including debt agreements, or any applicable law, or that would have the effect of rendering P3 LLC insolvent. If P3 LLC does not have sufficient funds to pay tax or other liabilities or to fund its operations, it may have to borrow funds, which could materially affect its liquidity and financial condition and subject it to various restrictions imposed by any such lenders. To the extent that we are to make timely payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement for any reason, the amounts will be deferred and will accrue interest until paid. Our to make any payment required under the Tax Receivable Agreement (including any accrued and interest) within 90 calendar days of the date on which the payment is required to be made will constitute a material of a material obligation under the Tax Receivable Agreement, which will the Tax Receivable Agreement and accelerate future payments thereunder, unless the applicable payment is not made because (i) P3 LLC is prohibited from making such payment under the terms of the Tax Receivable Agreement or the terms governing certain of its indebtedness or (ii) P3 LLC does not have, and using commercially reasonable efforts cannot obtain, sufficient funds to make such payment. In addition, if P3 LLC does not have sufficient funds to make distributions, its ability to declare and pay cash dividends will also be restricted or .
Under the P3 LLC A&R LLC Agreement, P3 LLC will, from time to time, make distributions in cash to its equityholders (including us) pro rata, in amounts at least sufficient to cover the taxes on their allocable share of taxable income of P3 LLC. As a result of (i) potential differences in the amount of net taxable income allocable to us and to P3 LLC’s other equityholders, (ii) the lower tax rates currently applicable to corporations as opposed to individuals, and (iii) the favorable tax benefits that we anticipate from any purchase of P3 LLC Units in connection with the Business Combinations and future redemptions or exchanges by the holders of P3 LLC Units for Class A common stock or cash pursuant to the P3 LLC A&R LLC Agreement, tax distributions payable to us may be in amounts that exceed our actual tax liabilities with respect to the relevant taxable year, including our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement. Our board of directors will determine the appropriate uses for any excess cash so accumulated, which may include, among other uses, the payment of other expenses or dividends on our stock, although we will have no obligation to distribute such cash (or other available cash) to our stockholders. Except as otherwise determined by us as the sole manager of P3 LLC, no adjustments to the exchange ratio for P3 LLC Units and corresponding shares of our Class A common stock will be made as a result of any cash distribution by us or any retention of cash by us. To the extent we do not distribute such excess cash as dividends on our Class A common stock, we may take other actions with respect to such excess cash, for example, holding such excess cash or lending it (or a portion thereof) to P3 LLC, which may result in shares of our Class A common stock increasing in value relative to the value of P3 LLC Units. The holders of P3 LLC Units may from any value attributable to such cash balances if they acquire shares of our Class A common stock in exchange for their P3 LLC Units, notwithstanding that such holders may previously have participated as holders of P3 LLC Units in distributions by P3 LLC that resulted in such excess cash balances.
We will be required to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement for certain tax benefits we may claim, and the amounts of such payments could be significant.
We are party to the Tax Receivable Agreement with certain holders of P3 LLC Units (the “P3 Equityholders”) and P3 LLC. The Tax Receivable Agreement generally provides for the payment by us to the P3 Equityholders of 85% of the income tax benefits, if any, that we actually realize (or are deemed to realize in certain circumstances) in periods after the closing as a result of: (i) increases in our proportionate share of the tax basis of P3 LLC’s assets resulting from Business Combinations, future redemptions or exchanges by the P3 Equityholders of P3 LLC Units for our Class A common stock or cash and certain distributions (or deemed distributions) by P3 LLC; and (ii) certain other tax benefits resulting from payments we make under the Tax Receivable Agreement. We will retain the benefit of the remaining 15% of these cash savings. The amount of the cash payments that we may be required to make under the Tax Receivable Agreement could be significant and is dependent upon significant future events and assumptions, including the timing of the exchanges of P3 LLC units, the price of our Class A common stock at the time of each exchange, the extent to which such exchanges are taxable transactions and the amount of the exchanging P3 Equityholder’s tax basis in its P3 LLC units at the time of the
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relevant exchange. The amount of such cash payments is also based on assumptions as to the amount and timing of taxable income we generate in the future, the U.S. federal income tax rate then applicable and the portion of our payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement that constitute interest or give rise to depreciable or amortizable tax basis. Moreover, payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement will be based on the tax reporting positions that we determine, which tax reporting positions are subject to challenge by taxing authorities. We will be dependent on distributions from P3 LLC to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, and we cannot guarantee that such distributions will be made in sufficient amounts or at the times needed to enable us to make our required payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, or at all. Any payments made by us to the P3 Equityholders under the Tax Receivable Agreement will generally reduce the amount of overall cash flow that might have otherwise been available to us. The payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement are also not conditioned upon the P3 Equityholders maintaining a continued ownership interest in P3 LLC or us.
In certain cases, payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement may be accelerated and/or significantly exceed the actual benefits, if any, we realize in respect of the tax attributes subject to the Tax Receivable Agreement.
The Tax Receivable Agreement provides that if we breach any of our material obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement, if we undergo a change of control or if, at any time, we elect an early termination of the Tax Receivable Agreement, then the Tax Receivable Agreement will terminate and our obligations, or our successor’s obligations, to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement would accelerate and become immediately due and payable. The amount due and payable in those circumstances is determined based on certain assumptions, including an assumption that we would have sufficient taxable income to fully utilize all potential future tax benefits that are subject to the Tax Receivable Agreement. We may need to incur debt to finance payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement to the extent our cash resources are insufficient to meet our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement as a result of timing discrepancies or otherwise.
As a result of the foregoing, (i) we could be required to make cash payments to the P3 Equityholders that are greater than the specified percentage of the actual benefits we ultimately realize in respect of the tax benefits that are subject to the Tax Receivable Agreement, and (ii) we would be required to make a cash payment equal to the present value of the anticipated future tax benefits that are the subject of the Tax Receivable Agreement, which payment may be made significantly in advance of the actual realization, if any, of such future tax benefits. In these situations, our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement could have a substantial negative impact on our liquidity and could have the effect of delaying, deferring or preventing certain mergers, asset sales, other forms of business combination, or other changes of control due to the additional transaction costs a potential acquirer may attribute to satisfying such obligations. There can be no assurance that we will be able to finance our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement.
We will not be reimbursed for any payments made to P3 Equityholders under the Tax Receivable Agreement in the event that any tax benefits are disallowed.
We will not be reimbursed for any cash payments previously made to the P3 Equityholders pursuant to the Tax Receivable Agreement if any tax benefits initially claimed by us are subsequently challenged by a taxing authority and are ultimately disallowed. Instead, any excess cash payments made by us to a P3 Equityholder will be netted against any future cash payments that we might otherwise be required to make under the terms of the Tax Receivable Agreement. However, a challenge to any tax benefits initially claimed by us may not arise for a number of years following the initial time of such payment or, even if challenged early, such excess cash payment may be greater than the amount of future cash payments that we might otherwise be required to make under the terms of the Tax Receivable Agreement and, as a result, there might not be future cash payments from which to net against. The applicable U.S. federal income tax rules are complex and factual in nature, and there can be no assurance that the Internal Revenue Service or a court will agree with our tax reporting positions. As a result, it is possible that we could make cash payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement that are substantially than our actual cash tax savings.
Certain of the P3 Equityholders may receive payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, and their interests may conflict with yours.
The P3 Equityholders may receive payments from us under the Tax Receivable Agreement upon any redemption or exchange of their P3 LLC units, including the issuance of shares of our Class A common stock upon any such redemption or exchange. As a result, the interests of the P3 Equityholders may conflict with the interests of holders of our Class A common stock. For example, the P3 Equityholders may have different tax positions from us which could influence their decisions regarding whether and when to dispose of assets, whether and when to incur new or refinance existing
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indebtedness, especially in light of the existence of the Tax Receivable Agreement, and whether and when we should terminate the Tax Receivable Agreement and accelerate our obligations thereunder. In addition, the structuring of future transactions may take into consideration tax or other considerations of P3 Equityholders even in situations where no similar considerations are relevant to us.
General Risk Factors
We may be subject to securities litigation, which is expensive and could divert management attention.
The market price of our securities has experienced and may experience volatility and, in the past, companies that have experienced volatility in the market price of their securities have been subject to securities class action litigation. We may be the target of this type of litigation in the future. Securities litigation against us could result in substantial costs and divert management’s attention from other business concerns, which could seriously harm our business.
Because we have no current plans to pay cash dividends on our Class A common stock for the foreseeable future, you may not receive any return on investment unless you sell your Class A common stock for a price greater than that which you paid for it.
We may retain future earnings, if any, for future operations, expansion and debt repayment and have no current plans to pay any cash dividends for the foreseeable future. Any decision to declare and pay dividends will be made at the discretion of our board of directors and will depend on, among other things, our results of operations, financial condition, cash requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors that our board of directors may deem relevant. In addition, our ability to declare dividends may be limited by restrictive covenants contained in any existing or future indebtedness. As a result, you may not receive any return on an investment in our Class A common stock unless you sell your Class A common stock for a price greater than that which you paid for it.
The market price and trading volume of our Class A common stock and Public Warrants may be volatile and could decline significantly.
The trading price of our securities may fluctuate substantially and may be lower than the price at which you purchase such securities. There can be no assurance that the market price of Class A common stock and Public Warrants will not fluctuate widely or decline significantly in the future in response to a number of factors, including those described in this “Risk Factors” section, many of which are beyond our control and may not be related to our operating performance, and which may limit or prevent investors from readily selling their Class A common stock or Public Warrants and may otherwise negatively affect the liquidity of the Class A common stock or Public Warrants. These fluctuations could cause you to lose all or part of your investment.
Factors affecting the trading price of our securities may include:
• actual or anticipated fluctuations in our quarterly financial results or the quarterly financial results of companies perceived to be similar to us;
• the public’s reaction to our press releases, other public announcements and filings with the SEC;
• changes in the market’s expectations about our operating results;
• success of competitors;
• our operating results failing to meet the expectation of securities analysts or investors in a particular period;
• changes in financial estimates and recommendations by securities analysts concerning us or the health population management industry in general;
• short sales of our stock or trading phenomena such as “short squeezes;”
• operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to us;
• our ability to market new and enhanced products on a timely basis;
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• changes in laws and regulations affecting our business;
• our ability to meet compliance requirements;
• commencement of, or involvement in, litigation involving us;
• changes in our capital structure, such as future issuances of securities or the incurrence of additional debt;
• the volume of shares of our Class A common stock available for public sale;
• any major change in our board of directors or management;
• sales of substantial amounts of Class A common stock by our directors, executive officers or significant stockholders or the perception that such sales have or could occur; and
• general economic and political conditions such as recessions, interest rates, fuel prices, international currency fluctuations, public health crises, and acts of war or terrorism.
A loss of investor confidence in the market for retail stocks or the stocks of other companies which investors perceive to be similar to us could depress our stock price regardless of our business, prospects, financial condition or results of operations. A decline in the market price of our securities also could adversely affect our ability to issue additional securities and our ability to obtain additional financing in the future.
If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business, the price and trading volume of our securities could decline.
The trading market for our securities depends in part on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about us or our business. We do not control these analysts, and the analysts who publish information about us may have relatively little experience with us or our industry, which could affect their ability to accurately forecast our results and could make it more likely that we fail to meet their estimates. If few or no securities or industry analysts cover us, the trading price for our securities would be negatively impacted. If one or more of the analysts who covers us downgrades our securities, publishes incorrect or unfavorable research about us, ceases coverage of us, or fails to publish reports on us regularly, demand for and visibility of our securities could decrease, which could cause the price or trading volumes of our securities to decline.
We will continue to incur significantly increased costs and devote substantial management time as a result of operating as a public company.
As a public company, we incur significant legal, accounting and other expenses. We are subject to the reporting requirements of the Exchange Act and are required to comply with the applicable requirements of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, as well as rules and regulations of the SEC and Nasdaq, including the establishment and maintenance of effective disclosure and financial controls, corporate governance requirements and required filings of annual, quarterly and current reports with respect to our business and results of operations. New or changing laws, regulations and standards are subject to varying interpretations, and, as a result, their application in practice may evolve over time as new guidance is provided by regulatory and governing bodies, which could result in continuing uncertainty regarding compliance matters and higher costs necessitated by ongoing revisions to disclosure and governance practices. As a result, our efforts to comply with evolving laws, regulations and standards of a U.S. public company are likely to continue to result in increased general and administrative expenses. In addition, we expect that our management and other personnel will need to continue to divert attention from operational and other business matters to devote substantial time to these public company requirements. In particular, we have incurred and expect to continue to incur significant expenses and devote substantial management effort toward ensuring compliance with the requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. We have hired additional legal and accounting personnel and may in the future need to hire additional accounting and financial staff with appropriate public company experience and technical accounting knowledge and may need to establish an internal audit function.
Being a public company has also made it more expensive for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance, and we may be required to accept reduced coverage or incur substantially higher costs to obtain coverage. This could also
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make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified people to serve on our board of directors, board committees or as executive officers.
Our results of operations and financial condition are subject to management’s accounting judgments and estimates, as well as changes in accounting policies.
The preparation of our financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions affecting the reported amounts of our assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. If these estimates or assumptions are incorrect, it could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition. Generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. are subject to interpretation by the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, the SEC, and various bodies formed to promulgate and interpret appropriate accounting principles. A change in these principles or interpretations could have a significant effect on our reported financial results, and could affect the reporting of transactions completed before the announcement of a change.
Scrutiny of, and evolving expectations regarding, sustainability and environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) matters could increase our costs, harm our reputation and adversely impact our financial results.
We, as with other companies, are facing scrutiny related to our sustainability and ESG practices and disclosures from certain investors, capital providers, shareholder advocacy groups, other market participants, government entities, customers, and other stakeholder groups. For example, certain institutional and individual investors have requested various ESG-related information and disclosures as they increasingly incorporate ESG criteria in making investment and voting decisions. With this focus, public reporting regarding sustainability and ESG practices is becoming broadly expected and standardized, which could lead to scrutiny of our ESG practices or lack thereof. While there are some other governments and actors taking different approaches, such scrutiny may result in increased costs, increased risk of litigation or reputational damage relating to our ESG practices or performance, changes in demands for certain products, enhanced compliance or disclosure obligations, or other adverse impacts on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
While we may at times engage in voluntary initiatives (such as voluntary disclosures, certifications, or goals, among others), such initiatives may be costly and may not have the desired effect. For example, expectations around companies’ management of ESG matters continue to evolve rapidly, in many instances due to factors that are out of our control. In addition, we may commit to certain initiatives or goals, and we may not ultimately be able to achieve such commitments or goals due to cost, technological constraints, or other factors that are within or outside of our control. Moreover, actions or statements that we may take based on expectations, assumptions, or third-party information that we currently believe to be reasonable may subsequently be determined to be erroneous or be subject to misinterpretation. Even if this is not the case, our current actions may subsequently be determined to be insufficient by various stakeholders. If our ESG practices and reporting do not meet investor, consumer, employee, regulator, or other stakeholder expectations, which continue to evolve, our brand, reputation and customer retention may be negatively impacted, and we may be subject to investor or regulator engagement regarding such matters. Certain market participants, including major institutional investors, use third-party benchmarks, ratings or scores to measure our ESG practices in making investment and voting decisions. ratings or scores of us or our industry may lead to investor sentiment, the exclusion of our stock from ESG-oriented investment funds, and the of investment to other companies or industries, which could have a impact on our stock price and our access to and cost of capital. As ESG practices, reporting standards and disclosure requirements continue to develop, we may incur increasing costs related to ESG monitoring and reporting. In addition, we operate in various jurisdictions where new ESG and sustainability-related rules and regulations have been adopted and may continue to be introduced. For example, we may be subject to the requirements of the State of California’s Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act and Climate Related Financial Risk Act, if they survive their current federal court . Operating in more than one jurisdiction is likely to make our compliance with ESG and sustainability-related rules more complex and expensive, and potentially us to levels of legal risks associated with our compliance. We are currently assessing the potential impacts of such adopted or proposed rules and regulations, as well as other sustainability and climate-related disclosure obligations and evolving legal and regulatory requirements, to which we may be subject. Our to comply with any applicable rules or regulations could lead to and impact our reputation, customer attraction and retention, access to capital and employee retention. Such ESG matters may also impact our suppliers and customers, which may augment or cause additional impacts on our business, financial condition or results of operations.